PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

naksoo

0x3ba870f950dc7172577eb545522b29ab7c1e3efc

Realised P&L
$5.99
Volume
$1.7k
Markets traded
55
Open portfolio
$6.66

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded55
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration18.7% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)54.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration75.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Probable FDV above $500M one day after launch? · No0.9230.926$5.00+$0.02
Arc FDV above $500M one day after launch? · Yes0.6900.665$1.12−$0.04
Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.3080.065$0.54−$2.02
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026? · Yes0.2690.000$0.00−$2.03

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-02 05:15Arc FDV above $500M one day after launch?SELL0.61$2.08
09-14 18:33Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?SELL0.828$4.55
08-17 09:42Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?SELL0.57$6.95
08-17 09:37Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 15 to August 17, 2026?SELL0.64$4.26
08-16 20:50Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 15 to August 17, 2026?BUY0.459999982$3.06
08-16 20:50Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?BUY0.4099999836$5.00
08-06 12:03Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?BUY0.5599999225$2.60
08-06 12:03Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?SELL0.2670920354$6.04
08-06 07:17Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?BUY0.3$6.00
08-06 07:17Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?SELL0.54$6.85
08-05 17:40Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?BUY0.2079999377$2.11
08-05 17:40Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?SELL0.43$1.91
08-05 05:41Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?BUY0.349999965$6.00
08-05 05:41Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 3 to August 5, 2026?SELL0.91$6.56
08-04 18:35Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 3 to August 5, 2026?BUY0.5599999945$4.04