PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

qswe36

0xf78f5c1ce9799f3308230937312e7396a1f705cf

Realised P&L
$309.56
Volume
$12.5k
Markets traded
39
Open portfolio
$29.31

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar2.5%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded39
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration98.5% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample35 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)82.9%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration34.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027? · No0.9600.977$10.18+$0.18
Cambria FDV above $200M one day after launch? · No0.9780.959$9.59−$0.19
Xi Jinping out before 2027? · No0.8800.972$6.94+$0.65
Probable FDV above $500M one day after launch? · No0.9220.926$2.60+$0.01

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
02-28 01:40Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?BUY0.998$2.79
02-28 01:40Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?BUY0.998$3.00
02-28 01:39Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?BUY0.9969999996$4.55
02-28 01:39Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?BUY0.9489999905$4.00
02-28 01:39Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?BUY0.9479999924$3.00
02-28 01:38Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?BUY0.9989998546$3.49
02-28 01:38Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?BUY0.9979998977$3.65
02-28 01:38Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?BUY0.9599999616$10.00
07-17 14:12Will Ethereum reach $4000 in July?SELL0.782$45.09
03-30 07:22Will the Columbus Blue Jackets win the 2025 Stanley Cup?BUY0.996$33.09
02-17 11:03Will Atalanta win the UEFA Champions League?BUY0.9769999999$25.82
02-17 11:02Will Borussia Dortmund win the UEFA Champions League?BUY0.98$23.00
02-17 11:01Will Stade Brestois win the UEFA Champions League?SELL0.999$48.82
01-20 06:46Will Stade Brestois win the UEFA Champions League?BUY0.9969999916$48.73
01-20 06:45Will Red Star Belgrade win the UEFA Champions League?SELL0.999$32.71