qswe36
0xf78f5c1ce9799f3308230937312e7396a1f705cf
- Realised P&L
- $309.56
- Volume
- $12.5k
- Markets traded
- 39
- Open portfolio
- $29.31
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.5%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded39
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration98.5% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample35 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)82.9%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration34.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027? · No | 0.960 | 0.977 | $10.18 | +$0.18 |
| Cambria FDV above $200M one day after launch? · No | 0.978 | 0.959 | $9.59 | −$0.19 |
| Xi Jinping out before 2027? · No | 0.880 | 0.972 | $6.94 | +$0.65 |
| Probable FDV above $500M one day after launch? · No | 0.922 | 0.926 | $2.60 | +$0.01 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$316.59at 0.570Clippers vs. Mavericks
- +$1.16at 0.975Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 by December 31, 2025?
- +$0.74at 0.902Berachain airdrop in 2024?
- +$0.61at 0.977Will Atalanta win the UEFA Champions League?
- +$0.47at 0.980Will Borussia Dortmund win the UEFA Champions League?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02-28 01:40 | Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31? | BUY | 0.998 | $2.79 |
| 02-28 01:40 | Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31? | BUY | 0.998 | $3.00 |
| 02-28 01:39 | Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of March 2026? | BUY | 0.9969999996 | $4.55 |
| 02-28 01:39 | Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of March 2026? | BUY | 0.9489999905 | $4.00 |
| 02-28 01:39 | Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of March 2026? | BUY | 0.9479999924 | $3.00 |
| 02-28 01:38 | Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of February 2026? | BUY | 0.9989998546 | $3.49 |
| 02-28 01:38 | Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of February 2026? | BUY | 0.9979998977 | $3.65 |
| 02-28 01:38 | Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027? | BUY | 0.9599999616 | $10.00 |
| 07-17 14:12 | Will Ethereum reach $4000 in July? | SELL | 0.782 | $45.09 |
| 03-30 07:22 | Will the Columbus Blue Jackets win the 2025 Stanley Cup? | BUY | 0.996 | $33.09 |
| 02-17 11:03 | Will Atalanta win the UEFA Champions League? | BUY | 0.9769999999 | $25.82 |
| 02-17 11:02 | Will Borussia Dortmund win the UEFA Champions League? | BUY | 0.98 | $23.00 |
| 02-17 11:01 | Will Stade Brestois win the UEFA Champions League? | SELL | 0.999 | $48.82 |
| 01-20 06:46 | Will Stade Brestois win the UEFA Champions League? | BUY | 0.9969999916 | $48.73 |
| 01-20 06:45 | Will Red Star Belgrade win the UEFA Champions League? | SELL | 0.999 | $32.71 |