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Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

nastynian

0x3e16f6799ec1923adf22fdf2d6eb041b6cdd5026

Realised P&L
$2.5k
Volume
$335.5k
Markets traded
546
Open portfolio
$11.1k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded546
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration32.9% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)52.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration7.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Tabi launch a token by December 31, 2026? · No0.7410.885$646.48+$105.07
Puffpaw FDV above $100M one day after launch? · No0.7130.820$546.51+$71.48
Puffpaw FDV above $400M one day after launch? · No0.9210.936$437.10+$6.97
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.6370.885$423.49+$118.49
Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch? · No0.4360.452$407.15+$14.42
Predict.fun FDV above $1.5B one day after launch? · No0.6580.755$381.56+$48.97
Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch? · No0.3650.275$369.23−$120.45
Metamask FDV above $3B one day after launch? · No0.8990.960$348.30+$21.97
StripChain FDV above $100M one day after launch? · No0.6410.795$337.90+$65.24
Reya FDV above $70M one day after launch? · No0.4370.870$231.87+$115.29
Makina FDV above $80M one day after launch? · No0.8590.935$217.89+$17.64
StripChain FDV above $20M one day after launch? · No0.5460.685$216.78+$43.89
Will Linera launch a token by December 31, 2026? · No0.9240.955$215.62+$6.82
StripChain FDV above $50M one day after launch? · No0.5880.735$207.27+$41.53
Will Cashmere launch a token by December 31, 2026? · No0.4790.605$205.47+$42.85

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-01 20:091win FDV above $70M one day after launch?BUY0.15$1.50
11-01 20:081win FDV above $100M one day after launch?SELL0.9139487432$74.18
11-01 20:051win FDV above $70M one day after launch?SELL0.81$32.40
11-01 20:051win FDV above $150M one day after launch?SELL0.9725192757$16.65
11-01 20:051win FDV above $100M one day after launch?SELL0.9600971575$82.41
11-01 19:591win FDV above $70M one day after launch?BUY0.87$17.40
11-01 19:561win FDV above $150M one day after launch?BUY0.985$50.23
11-01 19:551win FDV above $70M one day after launch?BUY0.87$8.70
11-01 19:471win FDV above $150M one day after launch?BUY0.985$197.00
11-01 19:461win FDV above $150M one day after launch?BUY0.985$80.77
11-01 19:451win FDV above $150M one day after launch?BUY0.983$67.65
11-01 19:411win FDV above $150M one day after launch?BUY0.983$9.83
11-01 19:411win FDV above $100M one day after launch?BUY0.95$63.65
11-01 19:001win FDV above $150M one day after launch?BUY0.908$27.46
11-01 18:401win FDV above $45M one day after launch?SELL0.05$13.31