nastynian
0x3e16f6799ec1923adf22fdf2d6eb041b6cdd5026
- Realised P&L
- $2.5k
- Volume
- $335.5k
- Markets traded
- 546
- Open portfolio
- $11.1k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded546
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration32.9% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)52.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration7.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.1kat 0.464USD.AI FDV above $400M one day after launch?
- +$786.18at 0.362USD.AI FDV above $500M one day after launch?
- +$495.52at 0.372MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?
- +$345.09at 0.479GRVT FDV above $200M one day after launch?
- +$292.15at 0.498Will $ANSEM reach $0.2 before 2027?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 20:09 | 1win FDV above $70M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.15 | $1.50 |
| 11-01 20:08 | 1win FDV above $100M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.9139487432 | $74.18 |
| 11-01 20:05 | 1win FDV above $70M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.81 | $32.40 |
| 11-01 20:05 | 1win FDV above $150M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.9725192757 | $16.65 |
| 11-01 20:05 | 1win FDV above $100M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.9600971575 | $82.41 |
| 11-01 19:59 | 1win FDV above $70M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.87 | $17.40 |
| 11-01 19:56 | 1win FDV above $150M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.985 | $50.23 |
| 11-01 19:55 | 1win FDV above $70M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.87 | $8.70 |
| 11-01 19:47 | 1win FDV above $150M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.985 | $197.00 |
| 11-01 19:46 | 1win FDV above $150M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.985 | $80.77 |
| 11-01 19:45 | 1win FDV above $150M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.983 | $67.65 |
| 11-01 19:41 | 1win FDV above $150M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.983 | $9.83 |
| 11-01 19:41 | 1win FDV above $100M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.95 | $63.65 |
| 11-01 19:00 | 1win FDV above $150M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.908 | $27.46 |
| 11-01 18:40 | 1win FDV above $45M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.05 | $13.31 |