PolyBot

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Next Claude Haiku (5.6+) released by December 31, 2026?

Tick
0.01
Min order
5
Fees
0.04 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.00 · takers only
Ends
2027-01-01
Rewards
20 min size · 6.5¢ max spread

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.30. down 0.15 over the period, from 0.45. Range 0.30 to 0.61. 152 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.443030
0.72737
0.73224261
0.74100361
0.8740401
0.905406
0.9130436
0.9515451
0.9625476
0.9711487
0.9870557
0.99121678

Spread0.28Mid0.30

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.167777
0.06582
0.0323105
0.02296401
0.016471,048

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.847777
0.94582
0.9723105
0.98296401
0.996471,048

Spread0.28Mid0.70

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.563030
0.28737
0.27224261
0.26100361
0.1340401
0.105406
0.0930436
0.0515451
0.0425476
0.0311487
0.0270557
0.01121678

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
xtxpleasecallmeYes232.45
2B9SYes56.15
0x489A6942253203fD0c5e786c230419a02840FfF2-1782011056329Yes30
0x0E7Fa09bF44514634293b5ecC2420C50ABYes5
ArkenibonYes3.85
boempieYes1
cigarettesNo100
SingletonFamilyFundNo91
ZhouCDNo40
SusanWarrenHRNo39.43
GuyFromTinderNo31.33
chaosj89No20
Alina-17No4
Welcome2026No1.85
MARV-1No1.79

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
19:07:48SELLYes0.22619151859$13.44
07:06:59SELLNo0.5119$9.67
00:11:50SELLNo0.533684210519$10.14
00:07:29SELLNo0.5419$10.26
00:03:46SELLNo0.5419$10.26
22:29:31SELLNo0.5319$10.07
18:34:28SELLNo0.5419$10.26
18:34:11SELLNo0.541$0.54
18:33:59BUYNo0.5720$11.40
18:11:20BUYNo0.573186813291$52.16
16:13:02BUYNo0.5320$10.60
09:20:50BUYNo0.5599997762$1.00
00:56:41BUYYes0.4820$9.60
15:36:56SELLNo0.519$4.36
15:36:50BUYYes0.489999976220$9.68
15:36:50SELLNo0.5229$14.85
12:25:56SELLNo0.5520$11.00
11:50:56BUYYes0.4420$8.80
10:54:41BUYYes0.4319$8.17
10:53:53BUYNo0.5919$11.21
10:53:53BUYNo0.5519$10.45
18:46:23BUYYes0.4797$45.59
13:42:47BUYYes0.4612$5.52
09:26:59BUYNo0.578$4.56
09:26:59BUYNo0.559999988829$15.99