PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

MARV-1

0x1b75f92c7093c0fc63b247a31acc1ba35d3d490c

Realised P&L
$-1.7k
Volume
$90.8k
Markets traded
578
Open portfolio
$422.29

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.9%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded578
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration24.3% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)68.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration43.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Drake release a new album by December 31? · No0.4280.775$184.66+$82.66
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? · No0.7800.905$116.03+$16.03
Will Muse from Meta be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 23? · Yes0.6930.720$103.89+$3.89
Will Jay Z release an album in 2026? · No0.6900.760$2.20+$0.20
Will Lil Uzi Vert release an album in 2026? · No0.5800.455$1.57−$0.43
Will Lana Del Rey release an album in 2026? · No0.5300.670$1.26+$0.26
Will Travis Scott release an album in 2026? · No0.5500.680$1.24+$0.24
Will Kendrick Lamar release an album in 2026? · No0.6800.835$1.23+$0.23
Will Justin Bieber release an album in 2026? · No0.6700.770$1.15+$0.15
Will Taylor Swift release an album in 2026? · No0.6500.740$1.14+$0.14
Will Bad Bunny release an album in 2026? · No0.7900.860$1.09+$0.09
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? · No0.2000.215$1.07+$0.07
Will Playboi Carti release an album in 2026? · No0.7400.755$1.02+$0.02
Will Anthropic's public ticker be $ANT? · Yes0.2410.243$1.01+$0.01
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22? · Yes0.9200.929$1.01+$0.01

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-19 06:28Will Muse from Meta be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 23?BUY0.6930693062$100.00
10-18 00:42Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on October 19?BUY0.975$1.00
10-17 14:56US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?BUY0.2$1.00
10-17 14:54US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?BUY0.92$1.00
10-17 14:53US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 18?BUY0.9649999952$1.00
10-17 14:52Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on October 18?BUY0.9549999952$1.00
10-17 14:51Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on October 18?BUY0.937999955$1.00
10-16 04:41Will The Weeknd have the second-greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?SELL0.28$5.04
10-15 13:17US announces end of Iranian blockade by March 31, 2027?BUY0.4099998975$1.00
10-15 02:37Will The Weeknd have the second-greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?BUY0.5599999642$5.00
10-13 16:02Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 12:00PM-12:05PM ETSELL0.02$1.43
10-13 16:01Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 12:00PM-12:05PM ETBUY0.1399999989$10.00
10-13 15:26Will Anthropic's public ticker be $ANT?BUY0.2409999764$1.00
10-13 13:32Gemini 4.0 released by October 13, 2026?BUY0.1$7.00
10-13 10:40Gemini Argon released by October 31, 2026?BUY0.01$1.00