Natural Disaster in 2026?

Tick: 0.01
Min order: 5
Fees: 0.05 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.25 · takers only
Ends: 2027-01-01
Rewards: 20 min size · 4.5¢ max spread

Price history

charttable

Yes. Currently 0.20. up 0.07 over the period, from 0.14. Range 0.12 to 0.21. 168 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live

Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.21	95	95
0.22	372	467
0.23	20	487
0.24	5	492
0.30	10	502
0.31	12	514
0.32	13	527
0.34	175	702
0.38	53	754
0.50	40	794
0.51	5	799
0.74	5	804

Spread0.01Mid0.21

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.20	76	76
0.19	309	385
0.18	20	405
0.14	36	441
0.13	62	502
0.12	58	561
0.11	185	745
0.10	60	805
0.08	31	836
0.07	183	1,019
0.06	453	1,472
0.05	356	1,828

No

Live

No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.80	76	76
0.81	309	385
0.82	20	405
0.86	36	441
0.87	62	502
0.88	58	561
0.89	185	745
0.90	60	805
0.92	31	836
0.93	183	1,019
0.94	453	1,472
0.95	356	1,828

Spread0.01Mid0.80

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.79	95	95
0.78	372	467
0.77	20	487
0.76	5	492
0.70	10	502
0.69	12	514
0.68	13	527
0.66	175	702
0.62	53	754
0.50	40	794
0.49	5	799
0.26	5	804

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
Holder	Outcome	Shares
0x79a1…34b5	Yes	4,989.36
xor7	Yes	1,344.83
canopgdsapfsdangsdfa	Yes	1,100
atomicannie	Yes	1,100
goatboss	Yes	1,091.63
RahimTheDream	Yes	1,000
Zarshka	Yes	927.71
DoloresZ	Yes	701.99
0x702226B14B65B1c8d05fF51759e095f09932F64e-1770071899262	Yes	538.55
rocky42015	Yes	496.43
0x1dc6B96CEAdbA97B27d75A72472503E719ACFb06-1722442585979	Yes	490.84
0x75d1B199a96801338e67a6eFAa35C0028eA87A5F-1770658242710	Yes	422.7
soul962533	Yes	400
ZachB66	Yes	322.58
memento-mori	Yes	320.16
DominuxLux	Yes	300
logan	Yes	227.27
Fojjit	Yes	210.77
snoopydiju	Yes	204.08
norulesnvr	Yes	204

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
Time	Side	Outcome	Price	Size	Value
11:35:42	SELL	Yes	0.2	64	$12.80
00:56:36	SELL	No	0.82	8	$6.76
00:36:52	SELL	No	0.83	15	$12.41
00:35:10	BUY	Yes	0.1562484741	64	$10.00
17:23:06	SELL	No	0.84	20	$16.95
17:21:07	SELL	No	0.86	124	$106.98
06:25:33	SELL	No	0.85	20	$17.00
06:25:30	SELL	No	0.87	40	$34.80
02:51:21	SELL	Yes	0.11291	20	$2.26
02:49:34	BUY	No	0.87	180	$156.34
22:11:55	SELL	Yes	0.13	20	$2.60
07:22:06	SELL	No	0.85	20	$17.00
07:21:54	SELL	No	0.87	167	$145.15
16:06:33	BUY	No	0.8799998733	6	$5.00
16:06:12	SELL	Yes	0.12	46	$5.52
16:06:09	SELL	Yes	0.1226675349	84	$10.36
16:05:33	BUY	Yes	0.1420645125	84	$12.00
16:01:33	SELL	No	0.86	1	$1.08
23:18:37	BUY	Yes	0.1399999832	7	$1.00
17:46:31	SELL	Yes	0.11	20	$2.20
13:16:24	SELL	No	0.87	7	$6.33
20:23:18	BUY	No	0.8495576563	353	$300.00
13:15:19	SELL	No	0.82	14	$11.39
15:02:48	BUY	No	0.829999956	12	$10.00
07:25:03	BUY	Yes	0.189999988	53	$10.00