Natural Disaster in 2026?

Tick: 0.001
Min order: 5
Fees: 0.05 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.25 · takers only
Ends: 2027-03-01
Rewards: 20 min size · 6.5¢ max spread

Price history

charttable

Yes. Currently 0.115. down 0.005 over the period, from 0.120. Range 0.025 to 0.430. 143 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live

Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.122	40	40
0.123	20	60
0.125	20	80
0.153	111	191
0.166	20	211
0.174	100	311
0.180	18	329
0.197	40	369
0.310	15	384
0.588	11	395
0.589	100	495
0.590	506	1,000

Spread0.015Mid0.114

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.107	65	65
0.104	20	85
0.092	112	197
0.030	63	260
0.021	120	380
0.020	200	580
0.010	1,100	1,680
0.003	440	2,120
0.002	660	2,780
0.001	3,870	6,650

No

Live

No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.893	65	65
0.896	20	85
0.908	112	197
0.970	63	260
0.979	120	380
0.980	200	580
0.990	1,100	1,680
0.997	440	2,120
0.998	660	2,780
0.999	3,870	6,650

Spread0.015Mid0.885

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.878	40	40
0.877	20	60
0.875	20	80
0.847	111	191
0.834	20	211
0.826	100	311
0.820	18	329
0.803	40	369
0.690	15	384
0.412	11	395
0.411	100	495
0.410	506	1,000

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
Holder	Outcome	Shares
0x79a1…34b5	Yes	4,989.36
xor7	Yes	1,344.83
canopgdsapfsdangsdfa	Yes	1,100
atomicannie	Yes	1,100
goatboss	Yes	1,091.63
RahimTheDream	Yes	1,000
Zarshka	Yes	927.71
DoloresZ	Yes	701.99
xtxpleasecallme	Yes	532.75
norulesnvr	Yes	526.79
0x1dc6B96CEAdbA97B27d75A72472503E719ACFb06-1722442585979	Yes	490.84
0x702226B14B65B1c8d05fF51759e095f09932F64e-1770071899262	Yes	487.87
0x75d1B199a96801338e67a6eFAa35C0028eA87A5F-1770658242710	Yes	402.7
soul962533	Yes	400
ZachB66	Yes	322.58
memento-mori	Yes	320.16
0x6b0e…e3ea	Yes	267.19
77895	Yes	227.27
Fojjit	Yes	210.77
snoopydiju	Yes	204.08

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
Time	Side	Outcome	Price	Size	Value
21:43:43	SELL	No	0.9579458017	208	$199.20
20:43:18	SELL	Yes	0.03	37	$1.11
16:29:43	SELL	Yes	0.0303333333	150	$4.55
22:30:12	BUY	Yes	0.1	18	$1.80
19:25:34	SELL	Yes	0.1097395896	83	$9.14
17:21:22	SELL	Yes	0.14	41	$5.76
16:59:57	SELL	Yes	0.17	26	$4.49
16:29:18	BUY	No	0.8299999932	4	$3.64
16:29:16	BUY	No	0.7798093588	577	$449.95
16:29:15	BUY	No	0.8251818511	20	$16.51
16:29:15	BUY	No	0.8187	40	$32.75
08:31:33	BUY	Yes	0.26	10	$2.47
08:06:27	BUY	Yes	0.26	10	$2.47
07:56:22	BUY	Yes	0.2599999968	38	$9.89
07:49:36	BUY	Yes	0.2599999896	4	$1.00
07:09:22	BUY	Yes	0.2599999864	16	$4.20
07:09:21	BUY	No	0.7799999938	26	$20.00
07:09:21	BUY	No	0.7799999716	6	$4.40
07:08:43	BUY	No	0.77	22	$16.94
07:08:01	BUY	No	0.77	22	$16.94
04:52:54	BUY	Yes	0.2799999915	9	$2.65
17:46:56	SELL	No	0.5726251935	394	$225.61
23:57:37	SELL	Yes	0.12	1	$0.09
10:12:32	SELL	No	0.82	8	$6.15
09:03:46	SELL	Yes	0.1	39	$3.92