RahimTheDream
0x4d2ed1d0166fc32a844414d134e6fa7e4d735e5a
- Realised P&L
- $-2.1k
- Volume
- $46.1k
- Markets traded
- 16
- Open portfolio
- $599.19
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-4.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded16
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration50.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample11 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)63.6%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration65.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027? · Yes | 0.249 | 0.125 | $394.19 | −$390.78 |
| Natural Disaster in 2026? · Yes | 0.300 | 0.205 | $205.00 | −$95.00 |
| US forces enter Iran by March 31? · Yes | 0.127 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.5k |
| Will Trump visit China by May 15? · No | 0.120 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$19.47 |
| Iran leadership change by April 30? · Yes | 0.225 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$400.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.1kat 0.645Arizona Wildcats vs. Michigan Wolverines
- +$661.52at 0.312Houthi strike on Israel by April 15, 2026?
- +$223.57at 0.361Spread: Golden Knights (-1.5)
- +$128.33at 0.192Will Trump announce that the US x Iran ceasefire has been broken by April 14, 2026?
- +$35.29at 0.170Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-07 01:33 | Will Trump visit China by May 15? | BUY | 0.12 | $19.47 |
| 04-24 14:00 | US announces military support of Kurds in Iran by April 30? | SELL | 0.0238299093 | $20.31 |
| 04-12 21:07 | Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027? | BUY | 0.2489203686 | $784.97 |
| 04-12 21:06 | Will Trump announce that the US x Iran ceasefire has been broken by April 14, 2026? | SELL | 0.2290083963 | $784.97 |
| 04-10 12:57 | Will Trump announce that the US x Iran ceasefire has been broken by April 14, 2026? | BUY | 0.1915695846 | $656.64 |
| 04-06 00:52 | Iran leadership change by April 30? | BUY | 0.2249192224 | $400.00 |
| 04-06 00:43 | Natural Disaster in 2026? | BUY | 0.3 | $300.00 |
| 04-06 00:39 | Cuban regime falls in 2026? | BUY | 0.2896331308 | $300.00 |
| 04-05 18:40 | US announces military support of Kurds in Iran by April 30? | BUY | 0.2346541775 | $200.00 |
| 04-05 04:23 | Flames vs. Ducks | SELL | 0.2 | $30.00 |
| 04-05 04:05 | Flames vs. Ducks | BUY | 0.0487562189 | $100.00 |
| 04-05 03:24 | Flames vs. Ducks | BUY | 0.1997700839 | $281.00 |
| 04-05 03:23 | Arizona Wildcats vs. Michigan Wolverines | SELL | 0.999 | $1.6k |
| 04-05 01:49 | Arizona Wildcats vs. Michigan Wolverines | BUY | 0.7699999995 | $1.2k |
| 04-03 15:15 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | BUY | 0.1699999996 | $300.00 |