PolyBot

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Traders

norulesnvr

0x73b831d248a47fdc49b12a4c1173f409b300f6b5

Realised P&L
$10.5k
Volume
$4.21M
Markets traded
257
Open portfolio
$5.2k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded257
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration42.6% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration60.7% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · No0.5000.789$3.2k+$1.2k
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.5000.210$840.77$1.2k
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · No0.8300.835$756.26+$4.53
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 · No0.1800.185$167.55+$4.53
Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026? · No0.8900.910$104.67+$2.30
Will any Category 5 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027? · No0.9000.966$85.61+$5.81
Natural Disaster in 2026? · Yes0.1090.205$41.82+$19.63
Will the official USD to ARS exchange rate be 1600.00 or higher at the end of December 2026? · Yes0.7700.600$16.86$4.78
Metamask FDV above $4B one day after launch? · No0.8990.935$13.94+$0.53
Will the official USD to ARS exchange rate be less than 1600.00 at the end of December 2026? · Yes0.1570.470$13.20+$8.80
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes0.1600.105$2.63$1.38

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-16 12:53Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?BUY0.83$83.00
09-16 12:51Nothing Ever Happens: 2026BUY0.18$18.00
09-16 09:27Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?BUY0.83$336.73
09-16 09:26Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?BUY0.83$332.00
09-16 09:26Nothing Ever Happens: 2026BUY0.18$145.03
07-28 14:47Natural Disaster in 2026?BUY0.1087745098$22.19
07-28 14:46Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026?BUY0.89$26.70
07-28 14:46Will any Category 5 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?BUY0.9$79.80
07-28 14:44Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026?BUY0.89$22.25
07-28 14:43Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026?BUY0.89$53.42
07-26 05:03Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?SELL0.6905886681$187.70
07-07 19:20Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?BUY0.6474348786$175.97
05-29 03:32NBA: SGA Award ParlayBUY0.54$20.05
05-29 03:32NBA: SGA Award ParlayBUY0.54$16.20
05-29 03:27NBA: SGA Award ParlayBUY0.4973515584$216.86