PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

ZachB66

0xc880abf881f2c21d87b96ee9a9c73a26813c8380

Realised P&L
$-1.7k
Volume
$362.1k
Markets traded
137
Open portfolio
$1.4k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded137
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration32.1% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)58.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration21.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0830.161$292.96+$141.46
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House · Yes0.4960.705$284.01+$84.01
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.2530.155$281.00−$177.00
Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.0130.007$134.13−$95.85
Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.0080.025$95.63+$65.63
Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0150.017$60.99+$7.29
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0170.021$36.13+$6.93
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0740.019$26.37−$73.63
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $5,200 (LOW) in December? · Yes0.1630.041$25.17−$74.83
Natural Disaster in 2026? · Yes0.3100.075$24.19−$75.81
US strike on Cuba by December 31? · Yes0.3800.085$22.37−$77.63
Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026? · Yes0.3600.080$22.22−$77.78
Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.0100.002$15.00−$85.00
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.0670.030$13.66−$16.34
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. leave the Trump administration before 2027? · Yes0.2570.175$13.60−$6.40

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-03 16:31Sydney Roosters vs. Newcastle KnightsBUY0.3614723601$300.00
06-30 11:48Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-07-03?BUY0.0439999979$20.00
06-27 13:22Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-29?BUY0.449999988$15.00
06-27 13:22Will Canada win on 2026-06-28?BUY0.5599999989$20.00
06-26 08:30Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-26?BUY0.25$70.00
06-20 17:11Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.0329999984$20.00
06-20 17:11Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.0329999967$10.00
06-20 17:11Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.04$100.00
06-20 17:09Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL0.049$89.42
06-20 17:09Will Joe Kent win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?SELL0.007$90.31
06-14 12:46Will Australia win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.1979999977$60.09
06-14 06:02Will Australia win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.1987019438$40.00
06-12 21:07Will United States vs. Paraguay end in a draw?BUY0.3$30.00
06-12 21:06Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw?SELL0.99$70.29
06-12 20:43Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12?BUY0.1$10.00