PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x79a14b2a3eddd65296f6a85158d7eaf1491734b5

Realised P&L
$-11.9k
Volume
$140.4k
Markets traded
14
Open portfolio
$5.9k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-8.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded14
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration89.7% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample9 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)22.2%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration58.8% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · Yes0.3090.165$3.5k$3.0k
Natural Disaster in 2026? · Yes0.5310.205$1.0k$1.6k
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.2300.255$636.90+$62.45
9.0 or above earthquake before 2027? · Yes0.2190.029$395.50$2.6k
Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled? · No0.1290.023$333.11$1.5k
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? · Yes0.2400.065$53.89$145.10

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-10 07:28NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?BUY0.2299999998$574.46
08-09 20:15Natural Disaster in 2026?BUY0.3683732446$599.25
08-08 15:40Natural Disaster in 2026?BUY0.6687314231$1.2k
08-02 10:58Natural Disaster in 2026?BUY0.5384589442$824.33
08-02 10:339.0 or above earthquake before 2027?BUY0.2188535864$3.0k
07-23 20:22Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?BUY0.31$5.0k
07-19 08:08Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?BUY0.305116915$1.6k
07-12 18:44Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?SELL0.1600715603$836.82
07-12 18:44US military draft authorized in 2026?SELL0.0312336446$285.04
07-02 18:09Ebola pandemic in 2026?SELL0.07$472.34
05-25 19:05Ebola pandemic in 2026?BUY0.08$539.82
05-25 10:37Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?SELL0.0676291709$570.21
05-03 08:49Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?BUY0.0589999999$497.45
04-18 13:11Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?BUY0.2399999984$99.50
04-18 09:36Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?BUY0.24$24.87