PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

0x1dc6B96CEAdbA97B27d75A72472503E719ACFb06-1722442585979

0x1dc6b96ceadba97b27d75a72472503e719acfb06

Realised P&L
$5.0k
Volume
$485.0k
Markets traded
367
Open portfolio
$13.5k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.0%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded367
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration13.3% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)96.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration60.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Trump out as President before 2027? · No0.8540.935$8.1k+$705.30
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House · Yes0.3490.415$3.9k+$612.44
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? · Yes0.7330.565$745.67$221.71
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? · Yes0.1280.065$323.31$314.07
Will Super Typhoon Dolphin hit China? · Yes0.6560.665$287.96+$3.80
Natural Disaster in 2026? · Yes0.3490.245$120.26$51.29
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? · Yes0.4700.235$52.17$52.17
China x Japan military clash before 2027? · Yes0.0900.085$17.53$1.03
Spread: Spurs (-5.5) · Spurs0.9100.000$0.00$14.56
Will Japan win on 2026-06-25? · Yes0.3850.000$0.00$38.50
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? · Yes0.6220.000$0.00$710.26
Spread: Germany (-1.5) · Germany0.4700.000$0.00$47.00
Spread: Spurs (-12.5) · Spurs0.7690.000$0.00$150.83
Portugal vs. Spain: O/U 1.5 · Over0.7700.000$0.00$154.00
Will Warsh say "President" during July Press Conference? · Yes0.4800.000$0.00$17.28

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-03 03:57Will Super Typhoon Dolphin hit China?BUY0.6597071742$198.26
08-03 03:56Will Super Typhoon Dolphin hit China?BUY0.6483018868$85.90
08-03 03:05China x Japan military clash before 2027?BUY0.09$18.56
07-29 15:24Will Warsh say "President" during July Press Conference?BUY0.48$17.28
07-29 05:09Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?BUY0.771$257.04
07-23 01:08Will Microsoft (MSFT) beat quarterly earnings?BUY0.91$171.08
07-22 15:18Will Texas Instruments (TXN) beat quarterly earnings?BUY0.92$422.97
07-22 13:31Will Texas Instruments (TXN) beat quarterly earnings?BUY0.91$32.76
07-22 13:30Will Texas Instruments (TXN) beat quarterly earnings?BUY0.9099304866$164.93
07-21 06:17Will Texas Instruments (TXN) beat quarterly earnings?BUY0.9$308.83
07-21 06:16Will Charles Schwab (SCHW) beat quarterly earnings?BUY0.94$31.96
07-19 22:10Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?SELL0.91$382.15
07-19 22:08Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?BUY0.91$3.4k
07-19 21:47Spain vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceBUY0.905$240.73
07-19 21:37Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.6$172.80