0x1dc6B96CEAdbA97B27d75A72472503E719ACFb06-1722442585979
0x1dc6b96ceadba97b27d75a72472503e719acfb06
- Realised P&L
- $5.0k
- Volume
- $485.0k
- Markets traded
- 367
- Open portfolio
- $13.5k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.0%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded367
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration13.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)96.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration60.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.2kat 0.890Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?
- +$1.2kat 0.299Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?
- +$899.13at 0.397US strikes Iran by March 7, 2026?
- +$790.04at 0.596Argentina vs. Egypt: Team to Advance
- +$786.44at 0.965Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-03 03:57 | Will Super Typhoon Dolphin hit China? | BUY | 0.6597071742 | $198.26 |
| 08-03 03:56 | Will Super Typhoon Dolphin hit China? | BUY | 0.6483018868 | $85.90 |
| 08-03 03:05 | China x Japan military clash before 2027? | BUY | 0.09 | $18.56 |
| 07-29 15:24 | Will Warsh say "President" during July Press Conference? | BUY | 0.48 | $17.28 |
| 07-29 05:09 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.771 | $257.04 |
| 07-23 01:08 | Will Microsoft (MSFT) beat quarterly earnings? | BUY | 0.91 | $171.08 |
| 07-22 15:18 | Will Texas Instruments (TXN) beat quarterly earnings? | BUY | 0.92 | $422.97 |
| 07-22 13:31 | Will Texas Instruments (TXN) beat quarterly earnings? | BUY | 0.91 | $32.76 |
| 07-22 13:30 | Will Texas Instruments (TXN) beat quarterly earnings? | BUY | 0.9099304866 | $164.93 |
| 07-21 06:17 | Will Texas Instruments (TXN) beat quarterly earnings? | BUY | 0.9 | $308.83 |
| 07-21 06:16 | Will Charles Schwab (SCHW) beat quarterly earnings? | BUY | 0.94 | $31.96 |
| 07-19 22:10 | Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? | SELL | 0.91 | $382.15 |
| 07-19 22:08 | Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.91 | $3.4k |
| 07-19 21:47 | Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.905 | $240.73 |
| 07-19 21:37 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.6 | $172.80 |