Will there be at least 3900 measles cases in the U.S. by October 31, 2026?

Tick: 0.001
Min order: 5
Fees: 0.04 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.00 · takers only
Ends: 2026-11-01
Resolves by: https://www.cdc.gov/measles/data-research/index.html

Price history

charttable

Yes. Currently 0.995. up 0.059 over the period, from 0.935. Range 0.905 to 0.995. 25 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live

Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.999	64	64

Spread0.009Mid0.994

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.990	103	103
0.983	200	303
0.950	100	403
0.940	20	423
0.911	100	523
0.910	121	644
0.890	200	844
0.800	100	944
0.713	30	974
0.690	31	1,005
0.034	300	1,305
0.033	1,000	2,305

No

Live

No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.010	103	103
0.017	200	303
0.050	100	403
0.060	20	423
0.089	100	523
0.090	121	644
0.110	200	844
0.200	100	944
0.287	30	974
0.310	31	1,005
0.966	300	1,305
0.967	1,000	2,305

Spread0.009Mid0.005

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.001	64	64

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
Holder	Outcome	Shares
Y4n4pol	Yes	500
Flingflonger	Yes	20
Dr.PNL	No	154.25
Numitus1994	No	101
ISddI	No	41
0x230d59Fa945B31660740EA95b8C9F774ED303fBB-1774601889454	No	30.8
GuyFromTinder	No	30
galhammerman	No	30
dlo23378	No	22
ImSweating	No	20
lolzzzlol	No	20
AJSV	No	20
nibblemaxxing	No	20
smarterstrat	No	20
bjprolo	No	10

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
Time	Side	Outcome	Price	Size	Value
06:44:11	SELL	No	0.001	1	$0.00
22:35:14	BUY	Yes	0.963556651	73	$70.29
22:35:14	BUY	Yes	0.908245	500	$454.12
22:35:12	BUY	Yes	0.93	20	$18.60
15:56:33	SELL	No	0.02	20	$0.40
14:10:38	BUY	Yes	0.5	20	$10.00