PolyBot

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Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 9°C or below on September 21?

Tick
0.001
Min order
5
Fees
0.05 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.25 · takers only
Ends
2026-09-21
Resolves by
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.015. down 0.335 over the period, from 0.350. Range 0.010 to 0.480. 57 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.0295555
0.0303186
0.0701096
0.0746102
0.09930132
0.10038169
0.10930199
0.1247206
0.1767214
0.2325219
0.7005224
0.94830254

SpreadMid

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal

SpreadMid

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.9715555
0.9703186
0.9301096
0.9266102
0.90130132
0.90038169
0.89130199
0.8767206
0.8247214
0.7685219
0.3005224
0.05230254

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
melchior1248Yes200
0xSPBBYes121
balthazarYes110
Weather-GuruYes79
hn54pVpVmJsjn2CAYes69.03
mashuuuYes62.33
nightowlnineYes60.3
LXJXLJYes50
mustbethewaterYes45
a5533Yes40.15
Va5k3zYes28.73
Richer88Yes25.85
0xblockedYes25
0x9696…ee7dYes20
2B9SYes16.93
TENETENETYes10
whhiskyYes10
1x6891589732cf8beaaf424b117d5c5c20919f6bb9Yes9.44
0xCD5251D8fc7d9AA99cbeDD4Fd7AF8107d6CD6c56-1782340538148Yes7
Welcome2026Yes5

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
10:22:41BUYNo0.99899990237$7.28
09:56:30BUYNo0.99915$14.98
06:26:44BUYNo0.9946$45.21
05:27:52SELLYes0.0130$0.30
05:19:16BUYNo0.9930$29.70
05:19:16SELLYes0.010086666760$0.61
05:14:52BUYNo0.988$8.00
05:12:34BUYNo0.985$4.90
05:11:07SELLNo0.971$1.21
05:11:01SELLNo0.973$2.58
05:11:01SELLNo0.9713$12.93
05:11:01SELLNo0.97763636364$3.76
05:11:01SELLNo0.981$0.52
05:11:00SELLNo0.9862$60.97
05:11:00SELLNo0.989$9.13
03:02:20BUYNo0.9795$91.66
02:48:13BUYNo0.9789$85.84
02:39:19SELLNo0.97$6.07
02:36:49SELLNo0.909869719725$23.05
02:36:34BUYNo0.9625$24.00
23:05:01BUYNo0.9625$24.00
23:03:01BUYNo0.8820$17.86
23:02:25BUYNo0.855$4.25
20:15:41BUYNo0.727$5.25
18:02:30BUYNo0.727$4.83