0xCD5251D8fc7d9AA99cbeDD4Fd7AF8107d6CD6c56-1782340538148
0xcd5251d8fc7d9aa99cbedd4fd7af8107d6cd6c56
- Realised P&L
- $-13.66
- Volume
- $12.7k
- Markets traded
- 420
- Open portfolio
- $7.89
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded420
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration16.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)30.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration48.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 29°C on October 1? · Yes | 0.150 | 0.255 | $3.83 | +$1.57 |
| Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 15°C on October 1? · Yes | 0.500 | 0.405 | $2.83 | −$0.67 |
| Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 16°C on October 1? · Yes | 0.120 | 0.123 | $1.23 | +$0.03 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$65.03at 0.043Will the highest temperature in Milan be 32°C or below on July 15?
- +$36.72at 0.042Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 40°C on July 30?
- +$18.98at 0.351Will the highest temperature in Milan be 33°C on July 16?
- +$15.94at 0.104Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 16°C on August 21?
- +$15.05at 0.365Will Belgium win on 2026-07-06?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-01 08:31 | Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 16°C on October 1? | BUY | 0.12 | $1.20 |
| 10-01 04:53 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 29°C on October 1? | BUY | 0.15 | $2.25 |
| 09-30 16:04 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 29°C on September 30? | SELL | 0.998 | $9.97 |
| 09-29 15:34 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 27°C on September 29? | BUY | 0.09 | $1.08 |
| 09-29 11:48 | Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 19°C on September 30? | BUY | 0.33 | $2.31 |
| 09-26 23:32 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C on September 27? | BUY | 0.04 | $1.18 |
| 09-25 23:22 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on September 26? | BUY | 0.5328571429 | $3.73 |
| 09-25 23:11 | Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 14°C on September 26? | BUY | 0.52 | $2.60 |
| 09-24 16:23 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on September 24? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.01 |
| 09-23 14:23 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on September 23? | BUY | 0.11 | $0.91 |
| 09-23 14:22 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on September 23? | BUY | 0.1 | $0.63 |
| 09-23 09:01 | Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 13°C on September 24? | BUY | 0.33 | $2.31 |
| 09-23 09:01 | Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 12°C on September 24? | BUY | 0.33 | $2.31 |
| 09-22 22:00 | Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 9°C on September 23? | BUY | 0.13 | $1.30 |
| 09-22 16:13 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 32°C on September 23? | BUY | 0.012 | $0.24 |