PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xCD5251D8fc7d9AA99cbeDD4Fd7AF8107d6CD6c56-1782340538148

0xcd5251d8fc7d9aa99cbedd4fd7af8107d6cd6c56

Realised P&L
$-13.66
Volume
$12.7k
Markets traded
420
Open portfolio
$7.89

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded420
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration16.4% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)30.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration48.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 29°C on October 1? · Yes0.1500.255$3.83+$1.57
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 15°C on October 1? · Yes0.5000.405$2.83−$0.67
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 16°C on October 1? · Yes0.1200.123$1.23+$0.03

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-01 08:31Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 16°C on October 1?BUY0.12$1.20
10-01 04:53Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 29°C on October 1?BUY0.15$2.25
09-30 16:04Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 29°C on September 30?SELL0.998$9.97
09-29 15:34Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 27°C on September 29?BUY0.09$1.08
09-29 11:48Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 19°C on September 30?BUY0.33$2.31
09-26 23:32Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C on September 27?BUY0.04$1.18
09-25 23:22Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on September 26?BUY0.5328571429$3.73
09-25 23:11Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 14°C on September 26?BUY0.52$2.60
09-24 16:23Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on September 24?SELL0.001$0.01
09-23 14:23Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on September 23?BUY0.11$0.91
09-23 14:22Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on September 23?BUY0.1$0.63
09-23 09:01Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 13°C on September 24?BUY0.33$2.31
09-23 09:01Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 12°C on September 24?BUY0.33$2.31
09-22 22:00Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 9°C on September 23?BUY0.13$1.30
09-22 16:13Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 32°C on September 23?BUY0.012$0.24