PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

Weather-Guru

0xb6fbce093cdd139858c44148a6598d8ec028c038

Realised P&L
$-1.4k
Volume
$66.4k
Markets traded
1,983
Open portfolio
$1.2k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded1,983
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration12.1% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)72.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration4.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-03 23:15Will the highest temperature in Milan be 37°C on August 5?BUY0.29$10.73
08-03 23:15Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on August 4?BUY0.16116$16.12
08-03 21:50Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 37°C on August 5?BUY0.257$25.70
08-03 21:50Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 33°C on August 4?BUY0.080514$8.05
08-03 21:49Will the highest temperature in Busan be 36°C on August 5?BUY0.09$9.00
08-03 21:39Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on August 5?BUY0.06$6.00
08-03 21:39Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 34°C on August 4?BUY0.209$20.90
08-03 21:39Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 36°C or higher on August 5?BUY0.2583333333$15.50
08-03 21:39Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 35°C on August 4?BUY0.3972214286$22.24
08-03 19:06Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on August 4?BUY0.12$4.92
08-03 19:04Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 34°C on August 5?BUY0.26$26.00
08-03 19:04Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on August 5?BUY0.31$31.00
08-03 19:04Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C on August 5?BUY0.08$8.00
08-03 19:04Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 35°C on August 4?BUY0.3777272727$16.62
08-03 19:04Will the highest temperature in Busan be 35°C on August 4?BUY0.37$3.70
Trader Weather-Guru · PolyBot