PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

Weather-Guru

0xb6fbce093cdd139858c44148a6598d8ec028c038

Realised P&L
$9.2k
Volume
$424.3k
Markets traded
3,832
Open portfolio
$7.6k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar2.2%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
CautionMarkets traded3,832
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration12.8% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration9.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on September 18? · Yes0.6680.690$694.06+$22.22
Will the lowest temperature in London be 18°C on September 19? · No0.7850.790$426.75+$2.45
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on September 17? · Yes0.4901.000$398.80+$203.41
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 13°C on September 19? · No0.6590.745$353.88+$40.93
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 76-77°F on September 18? · Yes0.4650.670$299.49+$91.83
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 32°C on September 18? · Yes0.2590.985$256.10+$188.70
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 25°C on September 18? · No0.7251.000$245.88+$67.49
Will the lowest temperature in London be 12°C on September 18? · Yes0.5610.985$227.53+$98.02
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 34°C on September 19? · Yes0.4770.545$204.38+$25.35
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 19°C on September 18? · Yes0.6000.565$202.84$12.56
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on September 19? · Yes0.5800.575$200.10$1.74
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 20°C on September 19? · Yes0.4930.485$176.54$3.08
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on September 18? · No0.4700.650$169.00+$46.82
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 25°C on September 19? · No0.6940.775$165.07+$17.29
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 24°C on September 19? · Yes0.4680.575$155.82+$29.02

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-18 07:02Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 69°F or below on September 19?BUY0.55$6.60
09-18 07:02Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on September 19?BUY0.58$201.84
09-18 07:02Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 80-81°F on September 19?BUY0.87$59.16
09-18 07:02Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 16°C on September 19?BUY0.33$5.94
09-18 07:02Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 25°C on September 19?BUY0.77$7.70
09-18 07:02Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 23°C on September 18?BUY0.37$4.07
09-18 06:15Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 25°C on September 18?BUY0.896$4.48
09-18 06:15Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on September 19?BUY0.34$65.62
09-18 06:15Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 76-77°F on September 19?BUY0.4$8.40
09-18 06:15Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 60-61°F on September 19?BUY0.79$22.12
09-18 06:15Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on September 19?BUY0.45$2.25
09-18 06:15Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on September 19?BUY0.14$7.42
09-18 06:15Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on September 19?BUY0.89$11.57
09-18 06:15Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on September 19?BUY0.68$2.04
09-18 06:15Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 36°C on September 19?BUY0.85$5.95