Weather-Guru
0xb6fbce093cdd139858c44148a6598d8ec028c038
- Realised P&L
- $-1.4k
- Volume
- $66.4k
- Markets traded
- 1,983
- Open portfolio
- $1.2k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,983
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration12.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)72.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration4.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$142.40at 0.172Bitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET
- +$141.20at 0.164Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on June 29?
- +$126.88at 0.137Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on June 28?
- +$125.14at 0.388Bitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET
- +$116.28at 0.151Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on June 29?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-03 23:15 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 37°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.29 | $10.73 |
| 08-03 23:15 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.16116 | $16.12 |
| 08-03 21:50 | Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 37°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.257 | $25.70 |
| 08-03 21:50 | Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 33°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.080514 | $8.05 |
| 08-03 21:49 | Will the highest temperature in Busan be 36°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.09 | $9.00 |
| 08-03 21:39 | Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.06 | $6.00 |
| 08-03 21:39 | Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 34°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.209 | $20.90 |
| 08-03 21:39 | Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 36°C or higher on August 5? | BUY | 0.2583333333 | $15.50 |
| 08-03 21:39 | Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 35°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.3972214286 | $22.24 |
| 08-03 19:06 | Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.12 | $4.92 |
| 08-03 19:04 | Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 34°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.26 | $26.00 |
| 08-03 19:04 | Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.31 | $31.00 |
| 08-03 19:04 | Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.08 | $8.00 |
| 08-03 19:04 | Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 35°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.3777272727 | $16.62 |
| 08-03 19:04 | Will the highest temperature in Busan be 35°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.37 | $3.70 |