Weather-Guru
0xb6fbce093cdd139858c44148a6598d8ec028c038
- Realised P&L
- $9.2k
- Volume
- $424.3k
- Markets traded
- 3,832
- Open portfolio
- $7.6k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.2%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- CautionMarkets traded3,832
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration12.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration9.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$429.14at 0.145Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on August 21?
- +$411.55at 0.271Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 32°C on August 23?
- +$411.30at 0.125Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 31°C on August 18?
- +$393.70at 0.212Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 32°C on August 21?
- +$368.41at 0.263Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on September 11?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-18 07:02 | Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 69°F or below on September 19? | BUY | 0.55 | $6.60 |
| 09-18 07:02 | Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on September 19? | BUY | 0.58 | $201.84 |
| 09-18 07:02 | Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 80-81°F on September 19? | BUY | 0.87 | $59.16 |
| 09-18 07:02 | Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 16°C on September 19? | BUY | 0.33 | $5.94 |
| 09-18 07:02 | Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 25°C on September 19? | BUY | 0.77 | $7.70 |
| 09-18 07:02 | Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 23°C on September 18? | BUY | 0.37 | $4.07 |
| 09-18 06:15 | Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 25°C on September 18? | BUY | 0.896 | $4.48 |
| 09-18 06:15 | Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on September 19? | BUY | 0.34 | $65.62 |
| 09-18 06:15 | Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 76-77°F on September 19? | BUY | 0.4 | $8.40 |
| 09-18 06:15 | Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 60-61°F on September 19? | BUY | 0.79 | $22.12 |
| 09-18 06:15 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on September 19? | BUY | 0.45 | $2.25 |
| 09-18 06:15 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on September 19? | BUY | 0.14 | $7.42 |
| 09-18 06:15 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on September 19? | BUY | 0.89 | $11.57 |
| 09-18 06:15 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on September 19? | BUY | 0.68 | $2.04 |
| 09-18 06:15 | Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 36°C on September 19? | BUY | 0.85 | $5.95 |