PolyBot

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Traders

melchior1248

0x36901eb0f21519cc9055662a6d2483e96da1e16f

Realised P&L
$212.8k
Volume
$27.71M
Markets traded
20,698
Open portfolio
$7.5k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded20,698
Far too many to mirror. This is automated flow across the whole venue, not a set of considered positions — copying it means rebuilding their infrastructure, at which point you are not copying anyone.
ClearProfit concentration18.6% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)12.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration3.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 26°C or higher on September 17? · Yes0.0911.000$199.90+$181.72
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 24°C on September 17? · Yes0.0911.000$199.90+$181.72
Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on September 17? · Yes0.0911.000$199.90+$181.72
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 17°C on September 17? · Yes0.0911.000$199.90+$181.72
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 24°C on September 17? · Yes0.0911.000$199.90+$181.72
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 18°C on September 17? · Yes0.0911.000$199.90+$181.72
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on September 17? · Yes0.0911.000$199.90+$181.72
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 17°C on September 17? · Yes0.0911.000$199.90+$181.72
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on September 17? · Yes0.0910.997$199.40+$181.22
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on September 17? · Yes0.0910.996$199.20+$181.02
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 86-87°F on September 17? · Yes0.0910.996$199.10+$180.92
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 96-97°F on September 17? · Yes0.0910.995$198.90+$180.72
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on September 17? · Yes0.0910.993$198.50+$180.32
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 19°C on September 18? · Yes0.0910.985$197.00+$178.82
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on September 18? · Yes0.0910.950$190.00+$171.82

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-17 22:36Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 24°C on September 19?BUY0.5299999093$2.63
09-17 22:35Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?BUY0.7099999972$20.30
09-17 22:33Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 74-75°F on September 18?BUY0.78$7.80
09-17 22:23Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 22°C on September 18?BUY0.5799999673$2.84
09-17 22:23Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 36°C on September 19?BUY0.93$27.90
09-17 22:23Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 96-97°F on September 17?BUY0.9357897447$23.36
09-17 22:15Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?BUY0.699999996$17.40
09-17 22:01Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 21°C on September 19?BUY0.73$7.30
09-17 22:01Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 72-73°F on September 17?BUY0.97$9.60
09-17 21:52Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 98-99°F on September 17?BUY0.98$9.70
09-17 21:50Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on September 18?BUY0.62$3.10
09-17 21:50Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 23°C on September 19?BUY0.79$23.70
09-17 21:48Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on September 18?BUY0.82$8.20
09-17 21:45Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on September 18?BUY0.42$2.94
09-17 21:40Will the Republicans win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026?BUY0.83999999$53.75