melchior1248
0x36901eb0f21519cc9055662a6d2483e96da1e16f
- Realised P&L
- $213.5k
- Volume
- $27.68M
- Markets traded
- 19,727
- Open portfolio
- $836.40
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded19,727
- Far too many to mirror. This is automated flow across the whole venue, not a set of considered positions — copying it means rebuilding their infrastructure, at which point you are not copying anyone.
- ClearProfit concentration7.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)68.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration7.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$24.7kat 0.134Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$19.5kat 0.012Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?
- +$18.4kat 0.033Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
- +$17.9kat 0.310Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election
- +$16.9kat 0.027Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-14 21:02 | Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? | BUY | 0.4599999829 | $8.09 |
| 07-14 20:57 | Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? | BUY | 0.002 | $0.10 |
| 07-14 20:57 | England vs. Argentina: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.5399999997 | $36.89 |
| 07-14 20:57 | Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? | BUY | 0.5409999954 | $27.03 |
| 07-14 20:57 | England vs. Argentina: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.54 | $27.00 |
| 07-14 20:55 | Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.252 | $133.12 |
| 07-14 20:55 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.564 | $297.93 |
| 07-14 20:35 | France vs. Spain: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.095 | $4.75 |
| 07-14 20:35 | Will Spain reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? | BUY | 0.1 | $4.71 |
| 07-14 20:32 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.197 | $78.80 |
| 07-14 20:32 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.516 | $202.68 |
| 07-14 20:32 | Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.2469954495 | $98.79 |
| 07-14 20:31 | Will the final be FRA vs ENG at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0498366765 | $3.68 |
| 07-14 20:31 | Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? | BUY | 0.4599999949 | $33.99 |
| 07-14 20:29 | Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.049 | $2.45 |