melchior1248
0x36901eb0f21519cc9055662a6d2483e96da1e16f
- Realised P&L
- $212.8k
- Volume
- $27.71M
- Markets traded
- 20,698
- Open portfolio
- $7.5k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded20,698
- Far too many to mirror. This is automated flow across the whole venue, not a set of considered positions — copying it means rebuilding their infrastructure, at which point you are not copying anyone.
- ClearProfit concentration18.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)12.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration3.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$24.3kat 0.141Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$19.5kat 0.013Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?
- +$18.4kat 0.013Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
- +$17.9kat 0.317Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election
- +$13.4kat 0.007Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 22:36 | Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 24°C on September 19? | BUY | 0.5299999093 | $2.63 |
| 09-17 22:35 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026? | BUY | 0.7099999972 | $20.30 |
| 09-17 22:33 | Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 74-75°F on September 18? | BUY | 0.78 | $7.80 |
| 09-17 22:23 | Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 22°C on September 18? | BUY | 0.5799999673 | $2.84 |
| 09-17 22:23 | Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 36°C on September 19? | BUY | 0.93 | $27.90 |
| 09-17 22:23 | Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 96-97°F on September 17? | BUY | 0.9357897447 | $23.36 |
| 09-17 22:15 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026? | BUY | 0.699999996 | $17.40 |
| 09-17 22:01 | Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 21°C on September 19? | BUY | 0.73 | $7.30 |
| 09-17 22:01 | Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 72-73°F on September 17? | BUY | 0.97 | $9.60 |
| 09-17 21:52 | Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 98-99°F on September 17? | BUY | 0.98 | $9.70 |
| 09-17 21:50 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on September 18? | BUY | 0.62 | $3.10 |
| 09-17 21:50 | Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 23°C on September 19? | BUY | 0.79 | $23.70 |
| 09-17 21:48 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on September 18? | BUY | 0.82 | $8.20 |
| 09-17 21:45 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on September 18? | BUY | 0.42 | $2.94 |
| 09-17 21:40 | Will the Republicans win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.83999999 | $53.75 |