PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

melchior1248

0x36901eb0f21519cc9055662a6d2483e96da1e16f

Realised P&L
$213.5k
Volume
$27.68M
Markets traded
19,727
Open portfolio
$836.40

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded19,727
Far too many to mirror. This is automated flow across the whole venue, not a set of considered positions — copying it means rebuilding their infrastructure, at which point you are not copying anyone.
ClearProfit concentration7.6% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)68.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration7.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-14 21:02Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?BUY0.4599999829$8.09
07-14 20:57Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?BUY0.002$0.10
07-14 20:57England vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceBUY0.5399999997$36.89
07-14 20:57Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?BUY0.5409999954$27.03
07-14 20:57England vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceBUY0.54$27.00
07-14 20:55Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.252$133.12
07-14 20:55Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.564$297.93
07-14 20:35France vs. Spain: Team to AdvanceBUY0.095$4.75
07-14 20:35Will Spain reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?BUY0.1$4.71
07-14 20:32Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.197$78.80
07-14 20:32Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.516$202.68
07-14 20:32Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.2469954495$98.79
07-14 20:31Will the final be FRA vs ENG at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.0498366765$3.68
07-14 20:31Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?BUY0.4599999949$33.99
07-14 20:29Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.049$2.45
Trader melchior1248 · PolyBot