Richer88
0xd7e47c0a00eaa434dcce28c65e7cd0112c16352d
- Realised P&L
- $815.02
- Volume
- $324.2k
- Markets traded
- 2,506
- Open portfolio
- $3.74
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded2,506
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- CautionProfit concentration40.3% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)78.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration31.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$60.38at 0.002Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 11°C or below on May 14?
- +$38.90at 0.134Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on August 25?
- +$31.47at 0.099Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 18°C on September 14?
- +$28.10at 0.013Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on May 29?
- +$21.42at 0.030Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on August 29?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-19 00:34 | Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 13°C on September 19? | SELL | 0.42 | $0.18 |
| 09-19 00:20 | Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 13°C on September 19? | SELL | 0.46 | $0.39 |
| 09-19 00:20 | Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 13°C on September 19? | SELL | 0.46 | $0.72 |
| 09-18 11:34 | Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on September 18? | SELL | 0.16 | $0.03 |
| 09-18 11:33 | Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on September 18? | SELL | 0.2 | $0.05 |
| 09-18 11:33 | Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on September 18? | SELL | 0.2 | $0.06 |
| 09-18 11:33 | Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on September 18? | SELL | 0.19 | $0.07 |
| 09-18 11:33 | Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on September 18? | SELL | 0.19 | $0.09 |
| 09-14 23:08 | Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on September 14? | SELL | 0.01 | $0.00 |
| 09-14 22:21 | Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on September 14? | SELL | 0.013 | $0.00 |
| 09-14 22:21 | Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on September 14? | SELL | 0.013 | $0.00 |
| 09-14 22:21 | Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on September 14? | SELL | 0.013 | $0.00 |
| 09-14 22:20 | Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on September 14? | SELL | 0.011 | $0.00 |
| 09-14 22:20 | Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on September 14? | SELL | 0.011 | $0.00 |
| 09-14 22:19 | Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on September 14? | SELL | 0.009 | $0.00 |