PolyBot

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Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 8°C on October 14?

Tick
0.001
Min order
5
Fees
0.05 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.25 · takers only
Ends
2026-10-14
Resolves by
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.995. up 0.655 over the period, from 0.340. Range 0.120 to 0.996. 65 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal

Spread—Mid—

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.990975975
0.90016991
0.533131,004
0.500541,058
0.450161,074
0.430161,090
0.350201,110
0.330211,131
0.300231,154
0.230301,185
0.181391,224
0.180391,262

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.010975975
0.10016991
0.467131,004
0.500541,058
0.550161,074
0.570161,090
0.650201,110
0.670211,131
0.700231,154
0.770301,185
0.819391,224
0.820391,262

Spread—Mid—

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
BismarckiaYes99.99
hn54pVpVmJsjn2CAYes97.65
neutralwave23Yes97.18
HoangSon2Yes80
AsahikoYes66.4
38791873984189Yes59.5
0x496f76BD5Cf4c2819C710aE90Ed1C84B2dc6FA5D-1773782287927Yes34.24
0xyahnYes25.82
UnknownCamer237Yes25
whhiskyYes21
tradetosurvive1Yes20.49
Tallguy2527Yes20
bhuumiYes20
1x6891589732cf8beaaf424b117d5c5c20919f6bb9Yes12.32
Safariland6004Yes10
dasnewYes9.62
stephaneauYes8
0xd96a…d8ceYes5.42
wallingj13Yes5
gabbyyyYes4.86

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
20:12:37SELLYes0.9925$24.75
12:20:06BUYYes0.99910$9.99
09:17:20BUYYes0.99820$19.96
09:17:16BUYYes0.99960$59.94
08:13:47SELLNo0.0015$0.01
06:07:59SELLYes0.986$5.68
06:06:49BUYYes0.9812$11.76
06:06:34BUYYes0.9729$27.74
06:06:28BUYYes0.971$1.30
06:06:26BUYYes0.9720$19.40
06:02:26SELLNo0.055$0.25
06:01:44BUYYes0.956571366297$92.96
06:01:34SELLNo0.055$0.25
05:58:28BUYYes0.145$0.70
05:53:14BUYNo0.845$4.20
05:17:05BUYNo0.885$4.40
01:13:55SELLNo0.3678003126$2.36
01:11:03BUYYes0.213028167526$5.50
23:07:45BUYNo0.944$3.75
21:50:34SELLYes0.09288683617$1.61
21:29:40BUYYes0.11999999048$1.00
21:27:19BUYYes0.112$0.20
21:27:00BUYYes0.1099999899$1.00
20:59:18BUYNo0.792$1.58
20:57:03BUYNo0.7740$30.80