Safariland6004
0x707eb36a1f43e2d0db5b6d7a5a83f9a81e318d7b
- Realised P&L
- $103.01
- Volume
- $19.0k
- Markets traded
- 741
- Open portfolio
- $29.36
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded741
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration8.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)82.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration22.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 76-77°F on September 17? · No | 0.750 | 1.000 | $6.66 | +$1.66 |
| Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 100-101°F on September 17? · No | 0.760 | 1.000 | $6.58 | +$1.58 |
| Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 22°C on September 17? · No | 0.790 | 1.000 | $6.33 | +$1.33 |
| Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on September 17? · Yes | 0.950 | 0.990 | $5.20 | +$0.21 |
| Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 23°C on September 18? · No | 0.880 | 0.810 | $4.59 | −$0.40 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$67.33at 0.603Ethereum Up or Down - July 7, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET
- +$44.48at 0.873Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 22°C on September 3?
- +$30.53at 0.784Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 30°C on September 3?
- +$29.82at 0.920France vs. England: Team to Win
- +$27.56at 0.814Ethereum Up or Down - July 7, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-18 00:01 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 23°C on September 18? | BUY | 0.88 | $4.99 |
| 09-17 21:02 | Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 90-91°F on September 17? | SELL | 0.99 | $6.42 |
| 09-17 19:58 | Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on September 17? | BUY | 0.95 | $4.99 |
| 09-17 15:58 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 21°C on September 17? | SELL | 0.99 | $13.19 |
| 09-17 13:57 | Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 100-101°F on September 17? | BUY | 0.759999927 | $5.00 |
| 09-17 13:56 | Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 90-91°F on September 17? | BUY | 0.7699999861 | $4.99 |
| 09-17 13:31 | Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 76-77°F on September 17? | BUY | 0.75 | $5.00 |
| 09-17 12:54 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 24°C on September 17? | SELL | 0.35 | $3.97 |
| 09-17 12:38 | Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 35°C on September 17? | SELL | 0.99 | $11.37 |
| 09-17 12:16 | Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 22°C on September 17? | BUY | 0.7899999905 | $5.00 |
| 09-17 08:46 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 21°C on September 17? | BUY | 0.75 | $9.99 |
| 09-17 07:16 | Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 19°C on September 17? | BUY | 0.7599999848 | $10.00 |
| 09-17 07:05 | Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on September 17? | BUY | 0.8099999854 | $10.00 |
| 09-17 06:02 | Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 35°C on September 17? | BUY | 0.8699999904 | $9.99 |
| 09-17 06:02 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 24°C on September 17? | BUY | 0.8799999789 | $9.99 |