PolyBot

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Traders

Bismarckia

0xce6dc1ac784e5456fc6dc55bd4d9dc5c5f304d2c

Realised P&L
$-32.13
Volume
$4.4k
Markets traded
31
Open portfolio
$9.80

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded31
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration49.8% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample17 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)64.7%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration97.6% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-15 23:02Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 74-75°F on September 15?SELL0.999$5.17
09-15 17:15Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 86-87°F on September 15?SELL0.03$0.72
09-15 17:15Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 84-85°F on September 15?SELL0.1077041602$0.70
09-15 17:05Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 86-87°F on September 15?BUY0.05$1.15
09-15 17:00Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 84-85°F on September 15?BUY0.11$0.55
09-15 16:54Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 74-75°F on September 15?BUY0.9648069306$5.00
09-15 16:17Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 80-81°F on September 15?BUY0.16$0.80
09-15 15:03Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on September 15?SELL0.005$0.03
09-15 15:02Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on September 15?SELL0.11$5.25
09-15 15:02Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on September 15?SELL0.12$3.60
09-15 14:41Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on September 15?SELL0.14$1.96
09-15 14:41Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on September 15?SELL0.016$0.03
09-15 12:12Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on September 15?BUY0.098$4.90
09-15 10:22Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 22°C on September 16?BUY0.0087750949$0.58
09-10 12:43Will the lowest temperature in Milan be 16°C on September 10?SELL0.11$0.55