Asahiko
0xaebd870371f88133e7a2674f22b062f2302fa26f
- Realised P&L
- $-1.9k
- Volume
- $115.5k
- Markets traded
- 712
- Open portfolio
- $553.65
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded712
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration21.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)88.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration35.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$127.19at 0.561Will the highest temperature in Paris be 38°C on July 29?
- +$125.01at 0.350Will the highest temperature in Paris be 36°C on August 3?
- +$124.09at 0.270Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on August 15?
- +$115.38at 0.624Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on August 5?
- +$111.77at 0.668Will the highest temperature in Paris be 35°C on July 12?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-16 21:39 | Will the next Claude Opus model be released by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.82 | $8.20 |
| 09-16 21:38 | Astra removed from public access by September 30? | BUY | 0.979 | $9.79 |
| 09-16 21:35 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.5299999868 | $10.00 |
| 09-16 16:22 | Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $5.0T by December 31? | BUY | 0.981 | $29.43 |
| 09-15 14:49 | Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $5.0T by December 31? | BUY | 0.982 | $98.20 |
| 09-15 14:48 | Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $5.0T by December 31? | BUY | 0.981 | $26.89 |
| 09-15 14:47 | Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31? | BUY | 0.88 | $44.00 |
| 09-15 14:45 | Will Donald Trump be TIME Person of the Year 2026? | SELL | 0.08 | $0.80 |
| 09-06 16:04 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C on September 6? | BUY | 0.96 | $67.20 |
| 09-06 16:03 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C on September 6? | BUY | 0.97 | $48.50 |
| 09-06 16:03 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on September 6? | BUY | 0.97 | $20.37 |
| 08-20 15:32 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C on August 20? | BUY | 0.98 | $29.31 |
| 08-20 15:27 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on August 20? | SELL | 0.76 | $0.76 |
| 08-20 15:26 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C on August 20? | BUY | 0.235 | $2.35 |
| 08-20 15:09 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on August 20? | BUY | 0.79 | $7.90 |