PolyBot

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Traders

Asahiko

0xaebd870371f88133e7a2674f22b062f2302fa26f

Realised P&L
$-1.9k
Volume
$115.5k
Markets traded
712
Open portfolio
$553.65

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded712
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration21.6% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)88.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration35.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-16 21:39Will the next Claude Opus model be released by September 30, 2026?BUY0.82$8.20
09-16 21:38Astra removed from public access by September 30?BUY0.979$9.79
09-16 21:35Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?BUY0.5299999868$10.00
09-16 16:22Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $5.0T by December 31?BUY0.981$29.43
09-15 14:49Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $5.0T by December 31?BUY0.982$98.20
09-15 14:48Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $5.0T by December 31?BUY0.981$26.89
09-15 14:47Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?BUY0.88$44.00
09-15 14:45Will Donald Trump be TIME Person of the Year 2026?SELL0.08$0.80
09-06 16:04Will the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C on September 6?BUY0.96$67.20
09-06 16:03Will the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C on September 6?BUY0.97$48.50
09-06 16:03Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on September 6?BUY0.97$20.37
08-20 15:32Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C on August 20?BUY0.98$29.31
08-20 15:27Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on August 20?SELL0.76$0.76
08-20 15:26Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C on August 20?BUY0.235$2.35
08-20 15:09Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on August 20?BUY0.79$7.90