Asahiko
0xaebd870371f88133e7a2674f22b062f2302fa26f
- Realised P&L
- $-2.8k
- Volume
- $132.0k
- Markets traded
- 973
- Open portfolio
- $128.68
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded973
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration17.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)98.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration23.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$167.57at 0.624Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 13°C on September 20?
- +$127.19at 0.561Will the highest temperature in Paris be 38°C on July 29?
- +$125.01at 0.350Will the highest temperature in Paris be 36°C on August 3?
- +$124.09at 0.270Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on August 15?
- +$115.38at 0.624Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on August 5?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-02 00:40 | Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 6°C on November 2? | BUY | 0.28 | $1.40 |
| 11-02 00:39 | Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 8°C on November 2? | BUY | 0.95 | $19.00 |
| 11-02 00:24 | Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 8°C on November 2? | BUY | 0.97 | $9.70 |
| 11-01 07:04 | Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 5°C on November 1? | BUY | 0.94 | $7.54 |
| 11-01 07:03 | GTA 6 launch postponed again? | SELL | 0.955 | $9.55 |
| 11-01 07:03 | Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 5°C on November 1? | BUY | 0.94 | $4.69 |
| 11-01 06:55 | Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 5°C on November 1? | BUY | 0.94 | $18.79 |
| 11-01 06:16 | Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $5.0T by December 31? | SELL | 0.959 | $28.77 |
| 11-01 05:28 | Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 4°C on November 1? | BUY | 0.12 | $0.61 |
| 11-01 05:15 | Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 3°C on November 1? | BUY | 0.977 | $4.88 |
| 11-01 05:14 | Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 3°C on November 1? | BUY | 0.969 | $33.11 |
| 11-01 05:14 | Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 3°C on November 1? | BUY | 0.969 | $19.38 |
| 11-01 05:13 | Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 3°C on November 1? | BUY | 0.969 | $19.38 |
| 11-01 05:13 | Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 3°C on November 1? | BUY | 0.9676666667 | $14.66 |
| 11-01 02:49 | Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 6°C on November 1? | BUY | 0.99 | $29.70 |