UnknownCamer237
0xd1f781ee17585037648bf75b18199dbe8645dae0
- Realised P&L
- $-1.2k
- Volume
- $468.8k
- Markets traded
- 886
- Open portfolio
- $1.4k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded886
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration12.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)92.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration46.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$469.25at 0.280Will the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C or higher on July 17?
- +$348.22at 0.239Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C on May 2?
- +$278.82at 0.826Will the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C on May 10?
- +$261.79at 0.695Will the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C on April 14?
- +$225.96at 0.886Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 8°C on May 14?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-22 16:20 | Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 21°C on September 23? | BUY | 0.4844969213 | $210.09 |
| 09-22 16:02 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on September 23? | BUY | 0.98 | $663.14 |
| 09-22 09:28 | Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on September 22? | BUY | 0.965688794 | $29.39 |
| 09-21 20:14 | Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on September 22? | BUY | 0.9788326533 | $374.23 |
| 09-21 19:56 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on September 22? | BUY | 0.9475837159 | $435.50 |
| 09-21 14:47 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C on September 21? | BUY | 0.87911049 | $106.94 |
| 09-21 14:47 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C on September 21? | BUY | 0.8857298323 | $368.69 |
| 09-21 14:46 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C on September 21? | SELL | 0.1256080811 | $15.73 |
| 09-21 14:42 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C on September 21? | SELL | 0.1266935678 | $21.04 |
| 09-21 14:39 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C on September 21? | SELL | 0.2152489715 | $15.17 |
| 09-21 11:45 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C on September 21? | BUY | 0.81 | $1.90 |
| 09-21 11:43 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C on September 21? | BUY | 0.85 | $16.05 |
| 09-21 11:42 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C on September 21? | BUY | 0.8968930158 | $78.72 |
| 09-21 11:42 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C on September 21? | BUY | 0.868711357 | $53.39 |
| 09-21 11:42 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C on September 21? | BUY | 0.8340999765 | $106.62 |