dasnew
0xbb0d358a5962840f5fc2ef3534383db1b49e54f9
- Realised P&L
- $-587.18
- Volume
- $36.2k
- Markets traded
- 2,336
- Open portfolio
- $10.90
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded2,336
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration15.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)20.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration99.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 23°C on October 13? · Yes | 0.230 | 1.000 | $10.86 | +$8.36 |
| Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on October 13? · Yes | 0.090 | 0.001 | $0.01 | −$2.49 |
| Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 21°C on October 13? · Yes | 0.096 | 0.001 | $0.01 | −$2.49 |
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 23°C on October 13? · Yes | 0.110 | 0.001 | $0.01 | −$2.49 |
| Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on October 12? · Yes | 0.258 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.50 |
| Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on October 12? · Yes | 0.084 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.50 |
| Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on October 12? · Yes | 0.084 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.50 |
| Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on October 12? · Yes | 0.190 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.50 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$47.38at 0.052Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 28°C on July 26?
- +$44.72at 0.104Exact Score: Real Betis Balompié 1 - 0 Real Sociedad de Fútbol?
- +$40.18at 0.115Will Hull City AFC win on 2026-08-22?
- +$33.10at 0.073Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C on July 26?
- +$26.01at 0.167Milwaukee Brewers vs. Los Angeles Dodgers
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-13 03:15 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 23°C on October 13? | BUY | 0.1099999987 | $2.50 |
| 10-13 03:07 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 21°C on October 13? | BUY | 0.0959999988 | $2.50 |
| 10-13 02:58 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 23°C on October 13? | BUY | 0.2299999834 | $2.50 |
| 10-12 16:38 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on October 13? | BUY | 0.0899999993 | $2.50 |
| 10-12 05:25 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on October 12? | BUY | 0.2579999862 | $2.50 |
| 10-11 12:28 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on October 12? | BUY | 0.0839999993 | $2.50 |
| 10-11 12:01 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on October 12? | BUY | 0.0839999993 | $2.50 |
| 10-11 12:01 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on October 12? | BUY | 0.1899999962 | $2.50 |
| 10-11 11:59 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 60-61°F on October 11? | BUY | 0.3399999619 | $2.50 |
| 10-01 16:24 | Counter-Strike: HOTU vs Team Nemesis - Map 1 Winner | BUY | 0.39 | $1.95 |
| 10-01 16:19 | LoL: MAGAZA vs The Otter Side - Game 2 Winner | BUY | 0.408 | $2.04 |
| 10-01 04:01 | Will the price of Solana be above $135 on October 1? | BUY | 0.9989998014 | $5.00 |
| 10-01 04:00 | Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 on September 30? | SELL | 0.999 | $5.00 |
| 10-01 02:15 | Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 on September 30? | BUY | 0.9989998014 | $5.00 |
| 10-01 02:15 | Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in September? | SELL | 0.999 | $5.00 |