PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 54-55°F on November 2?

Tick
0.01
Min order
5
Fees
0.05 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.25 · takers only
Ends
2026-11-02
Resolves by
https://aviationweather.gov/api/data/metar?ids=KLGA&format=raw&date=2026-11-03T08:00:00Z&hours=30
Rewards
20 min size · 4.5¢ max spread

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.10. down 0.24 over the period, from 0.35. Range 0.10 to 0.37. 38 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.1255
0.136974
0.14407481
0.1518499
0.175504
0.1850554
0.1920574
0.2050624
0.2226649
0.2520669
0.3350719
0.4550769

Spread0.03Mid0.10

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.09141141
0.08383524
0.0541564
0.04255819
0.032331,052
0.01301,082

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.91141141
0.92383524
0.9541564
0.96255819
0.972331,052
0.99301,082

Spread0.03Mid0.90

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.8855
0.876974
0.86407481
0.8518499
0.835504
0.8250554
0.8120574
0.8050624
0.7826649
0.7520669
0.6750719
0.5550769

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
BilberryYes561.34
wildestdogYes100
woff1236578Yes52.75
KowalskiyYes35
0x496f76BD5Cf4c2819C710aE90Ed1C84B2dc6FA5D-1773782287927Yes33.09
gaaaydogggggYes29.89
plainvectorYes21.99
CoffeinatedHumsterYes20.26
LornaPredictsYes7.31
bhuumiYes5
dwedwdYes3.75
1x6891589732cf8beaaf424b117d5c5c20919f6bb9Yes1.79
hfvYes1.21
0xa5ef…2966No312.54
mahmud-abula-ibn-mahmudNo131
dami-1No35.08
gghffNo35
HellYeahTraderNo30
MayWeatherstappenNo29.8
rocky42013No28.48

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
00:14:00SELLYes0.15$0.50
23:13:00BUYNo0.885904995912$10.82
23:12:58BUYNo0.8818$15.95
22:55:06BUYYes0.154491737620$3.09
22:14:10BUYNo0.8610$8.60
22:09:28BUYNo0.848333333330$25.45
20:58:16SELLNo0.840$32.00
20:24:21SELLNo0.7946$36.20
20:22:24BUYNo0.82999999836$4.99
19:40:04SELLYes0.152$0.23
19:39:49BUYNo0.8110$8.10
19:39:49BUYNo0.818$6.87
19:39:49BUYNo0.80999999920$16.21
19:39:49BUYNo0.80999998283$2.83
19:11:31BUYYes0.1655136662250$41.32
17:45:45BUYNo0.855$4.25
17:44:40BUYYes0.138$1.04
17:44:40BUYYes0.14999999257$1.00
17:44:40BUYYes0.14423075547$1.00
17:00:04BUYNo0.895$4.45
16:46:52BUYNo0.9210$9.20
16:46:52BUYNo0.915$4.55
14:42:52BUYYes0.1099999899$1.00
11:11:36BUYNo0.79128540316$4.54
11:10:40BUYNo0.78999986571$1.00