CoffeinatedHumster
0x2dc2db41a4d68e3747d3353f5229150ebb39cd31
- Realised P&L
- $-202.01
- Volume
- $14.6k
- Markets traded
- 493
- Open portfolio
- $380.47
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded493
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration20.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)38.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration5.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$18.52at 0.005Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 21°C on October 25?
- +$18.50at 0.469Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 26°C on September 14?
- +$18.24at 0.001Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on October 25?
- +$17.92at 0.005Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 23°C on October 25?
- +$17.88at 0.389Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 20°C on September 13?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-30 20:47 | Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 78-79°F on October 30? | SELL | 0.006204 | $0.12 |
| 10-30 19:17 | Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 15°C on October 30? | SELL | 0.02 | $0.43 |
| 10-30 16:42 | Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on October 30? | SELL | 0.0035 | $0.07 |
| 10-30 06:31 | Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 14°C on October 30? | SELL | 0.26 | $1.58 |
| 10-28 16:03 | Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 74-75°F on October 28? | SELL | 0.01 | $0.29 |
| 10-25 23:22 | Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 54-55°F on October 26? | SELL | 0.0415670628 | $0.73 |
| 10-25 23:22 | Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 46-47°F on October 26? | SELL | 0.05 | $0.29 |
| 10-25 23:20 | Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 72-73°F on October 25? | SELL | 0.301 | $1.94 |
| 10-02 16:39 | Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on October 3? | SELL | 0.0111547837 | $0.37 |
| 10-02 16:39 | Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 58-59°F on October 3? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.02 |
| 10-02 16:39 | Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 54-55°F on October 3? | SELL | 0.0021842105 | $0.08 |
| 10-02 16:38 | Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 76-77°F on October 3? | SELL | 0.05 | $2.00 |
| 10-02 16:38 | Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 7°C on October 3? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.04 |
| 10-02 16:28 | Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 74-75°F on October 3? | SELL | 0.01 | $0.40 |
| 10-02 16:28 | Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 11°C on October 3? | SELL | 0.0574103785 | $2.29 |