wildestdog
0x85a0211d561c5de170624d537185c64eaedaf9fc
- Realised P&L
- $-1.3k
- Volume
- $138.0k
- Markets traded
- 1,495
- Open portfolio
- $2.0k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,495
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration7.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)94.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration5.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$256.01at 0.306Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on September 14?
- +$208.10at 0.091Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 54-55°F on October 26?
- +$208.06at 0.216Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on September 19?
- +$192.00at 0.200Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on September 20?
- +$189.59at 0.199Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 48-49°F on October 25?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 19:56 | Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 64-65°F on November 1? | SELL | 0.99 | $26.37 |
| 11-01 19:55 | Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 82-83°F on November 1? | SELL | 0.99 | $39.09 |
| 11-01 06:30 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C on November 1? | SELL | 0.99 | $31.42 |
| 11-01 04:57 | Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 76-77°F on October 31? | SELL | 0.99 | $38.06 |
| 11-01 04:54 | Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 46-47°F on October 31? | SELL | 0.999 | $14.98 |
| 11-01 04:08 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on November 1? | SELL | 0.99 | $16.56 |
| 10-31 20:54 | Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 82-83°F on October 31? | SELL | 0.999 | $25.94 |
| 10-31 16:54 | Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 80-81°F on October 31? | SELL | 0.99 | $18.98 |
| 10-31 15:32 | Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on October 31? | SELL | 0.999 | $99.90 |
| 10-31 15:32 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 21°C on October 31? | SELL | 0.999 | $6.99 |
| 10-31 13:42 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on October 31? | SELL | 0.999 | $99.89 |
| 10-30 16:56 | Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on October 30? | SELL | 0.99 | $36.18 |
| 10-30 07:09 | Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on October 30? | SELL | 0.99 | $76.15 |
| 10-29 19:04 | Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 24°C on October 29? | SELL | 0.99 | $17.61 |
| 10-29 06:22 | Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 16°C on October 29? | SELL | 0.99 | $35.70 |