plainvector
0xab3eb11c6946b607b0f92cc9e2197edf747218ef
- Realised P&L
- $-1.8k
- Volume
- $87.9k
- Markets traded
- 1,307
- Open portfolio
- $174.80
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,307
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration24.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)46.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration12.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$18.65at 0.462Bitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET
- +$15.54at 0.393Bitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET
- +$14.74at 0.330Will the highest temperature in Paris be 13°C on November 1?
- +$12.86at 0.385Bitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET
- +$11.93at 0.458Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 17:58 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 60-61°F on November 1? | SELL | 0.189043943 | $3.18 |
| 11-01 17:49 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 62-63°F on November 1? | SELL | 0.1402272727 | $3.08 |
| 11-01 15:12 | Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 76-77°F on November 2? | SELL | 0.18 | $1.19 |
| 10-31 19:13 | Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 4°C on November 1? | SELL | 0.49 | $10.78 |
| 10-31 19:12 | Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 5°C on November 1? | SELL | 0.41 | $9.02 |
| 10-31 13:08 | Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on October 31? | SELL | 0.999 | $24.83 |
| 10-30 15:27 | Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 3°C on November 1? | SELL | 0.1 | $0.56 |
| 10-30 07:58 | Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on October 30? | SELL | 0.2732454545 | $6.01 |
| 10-30 04:03 | Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on October 30? | SELL | 0.7240545455 | $15.93 |
| 10-30 02:36 | Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on October 31? | SELL | 0.49 | $7.02 |
| 10-29 22:58 | Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on October 30? | SELL | 0.8499800399 | $4.26 |
| 10-29 22:16 | Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on October 30? | SELL | 0.75 | $16.44 |
| 10-29 19:20 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C on October 30? | SELL | 0.4722727273 | $10.39 |
| 10-29 16:16 | Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 72-73°F on October 29? | SELL | 0.039 | $0.20 |
| 10-29 15:00 | Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on October 29? | SELL | 0.1 | $0.50 |