Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 7°C on November 4?

Tick: 0.01
Min order: 5
Fees: 0.05 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.25 · takers only
Ends: 2026-11-04
Resolves by: https://aviationweather.gov/api/data/metar?ids=EPWA&format=raw&date=2026-11-05T02:00:00Z&hours=30
Rewards: 20 min size · 4.5¢ max spread

Price history

charttable

Yes. Currently 0.14. up 0.04 over the period, from 0.10. Range 0.10 to 0.23. 8 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live

Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.20	5	5
0.21	45	50
0.22	10	60
0.23	74	134
0.30	110	243
0.55	8	251
0.56	30	281
0.60	5	286
0.62	5	292
0.64	6	297
0.65	40	337
0.66	6	343

Spread0.11Mid0.15

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.09	5	5
0.08	30	35
0.06	164	199
0.05	846	1,045
0.04	281	1,326
0.03	343	1,669
0.02	6	1,675

No

Live

No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.91	5	5
0.92	30	35
0.94	164	199
0.95	846	1,045
0.96	281	1,326
0.97	343	1,669
0.98	6	1,675

Spread0.11Mid0.85

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.80	5	5
0.79	45	50
0.78	10	60
0.77	74	134
0.70	110	243
0.45	8	251
0.44	30	281
0.40	5	286
0.38	5	292
0.36	6	297
0.35	40	337
0.34	6	343

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
Holder	Outcome	Shares
mashuuuu	Yes	46.25
newbie147	Yes	30
a5533	Yes	19.99
2B9S	Yes	17.03
dars007	Yes	10
0xc7D5670680A73067135fE24B4c97F196F8C46b08-1782535538997	Yes	10
M.Peanut	Yes	9.51
logosre	Yes	7.09
0xa5ef…2966	No	30
AAAGoose	No	25.39
0x3340d23dE3275300f88ABFD8803B2f9Ea15f13C8-1769572617408	No	21
0x27066a9484C2A7ad5A0C6F85cDC778234985c6BE-1764743728015	No	11.85
old2017	No	11.11
95monster	No	10
TakeYourTemperature	No	9.76
Mooni888	No	7.09
Alcaraz2026	No	5.81
WilliMekkit	No	5.29
Bilberry	No	4.04
kostyankr2	No	4

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
Time	Side	Outcome	Price	Size	Value
12:59:22	BUY	Yes	0.1	10	$1.00
12:40:16	BUY	No	0.92	10	$9.20
12:31:07	BUY	Yes	0.1028578078	16	$1.60
12:12:01	BUY	No	0.91	11	$10.11
12:11:25	BUY	No	0.9168564917	21	$19.25
12:11:24	BUY	No	0.91	2	$2.00
12:11:24	BUY	No	0.9099999969	10	$8.88
12:11:24	BUY	No	0.9099999876	4	$3.68
10:40:24	BUY	No	0.89	5	$4.71
10:40:19	BUY	No	0.9	2	$1.89
10:38:04	BUY	Yes	0.1299999963	11	$1.39
08:33:45	BUY	No	0.86	4	$3.44
08:33:45	BUY	No	0.8599999656	2	$2.00
08:33:43	BUY	No	0.86	6	$5.00
08:32:28	SELL	No	0.83	10	$8.51
08:20:45	SELL	No	0.84	10	$8.19
08:08:30	BUY	No	0.8099999788	7	$5.74
07:14:09	BUY	Yes	0.12	20	$2.40