kostyankr2
0xd91e4f1b1490cff64477c039ee7e53ab9cdabf1d
- Realised P&L
- $-2.7k
- Volume
- $1.21M
- Markets traded
- 40,398
- Open portfolio
- $327.05
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded40,398
- Far too many to mirror. This is automated flow across the whole venue, not a set of considered positions — copying it means rebuilding their infrastructure, at which point you are not copying anyone.
- ClearProfit concentration8.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)98.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration3.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$441.01at 0.733US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?
- +$161.39at 0.861US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
- +$130.88at 0.810US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?
- +$98.98at 0.859US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?
- +$97.93at 0.831US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-12 20:20 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 21°C on October 14? | BUY | 0.7799999122 | $1.60 |
| 10-12 20:20 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 21°C on October 14? | BUY | 0.7799999536 | $1.68 |
| 10-12 20:09 | Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 28°C on October 13? | BUY | 0.81 | $1.62 |
| 10-12 20:07 | Ethereum Up or Down - October 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET | BUY | 0.89 | $4.45 |
| 10-12 20:07 | Ethereum Up or Down - October 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET | BUY | 0.89 | $4.45 |
| 10-12 20:05 | Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 38°C on October 14? | BUY | 0.96 | $1.92 |
| 10-12 20:05 | Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 34°C on October 14? | BUY | 0.97 | $1.94 |
| 10-12 19:52 | Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 94-95°F on October 14? | BUY | 0.81 | $1.62 |
| 10-12 19:46 | Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 16°C on October 14? | BUY | 0.97 | $1.94 |
| 10-12 19:46 | Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 19°C on October 14? | BUY | 0.92 | $1.84 |
| 10-12 19:25 | Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on October 12? | BUY | 0.97 | $1.94 |
| 10-12 19:09 | Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on October 12? | BUY | 0.8 | $1.60 |
| 10-12 19:05 | Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 24°C on October 13? | BUY | 0.94 | $1.88 |
| 10-12 19:03 | Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 31°C on October 14? | BUY | 0.92 | $1.84 |
| 10-12 18:34 | Ethereum Up or Down - October 12, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET | BUY | 0.97 | $4.85 |