AAAGoose
0xec425fc2e1c91908ae2ebddb4d519ef90ef45ffb
- Realised P&L
- $636.48
- Volume
- $277.6k
- Markets traded
- 4,467
- Open portfolio
- $832.37
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded4,467
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration6.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)78.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration8.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$133.17at 0.500Will Trump tweet 10-14 times Nov 22-29?
- +$32.66at 0.550Ansem vs. Bitboy - Crypto Fight Night
- +$22.66at 0.363Will another candidate win the 2024 Romanian Presidential election?
- +$20.55at 0.158Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 55-56°F on October 28?
- +$20.00at 0.050Will the highest temperature in London be between 44°F and 45°F on January 26?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-15 14:21 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 31°C on July 15? | SELL | 0.33 | $9.90 |
| 07-14 11:53 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 34°C on July 14? | SELL | 0.31511 | $9.45 |
| 07-13 19:04 | Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 9°C on July 13? | SELL | 0.180901 | $5.43 |
| 07-13 14:44 | Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 25°C on July 13? | SELL | 0.27 | $8.10 |
| 07-13 14:06 | Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on July 13? | SELL | 0.24 | $2.06 |
| 07-13 04:39 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on July 13? | SELL | 0.3209015391 | $15.22 |
| 07-12 15:01 | Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 19°C on July 12? | SELL | 0.296182 | $14.81 |
| 07-12 14:28 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 35°C on July 12? | SELL | 0.2012262452 | $10.06 |
| 07-12 12:43 | Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 27°C on July 12? | SELL | 0.32 | $9.60 |
| 07-12 10:56 | Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 26°C on July 12? | SELL | 0.34 | $10.20 |
| 07-11 15:10 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 35°C on July 11? | SELL | 0.20675 | $6.20 |
| 07-11 14:55 | Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 25°C on July 11? | SELL | 0.2365432 | $11.83 |
| 07-11 13:39 | Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on July 11? | SELL | 0.243042 | $12.15 |
| 07-11 12:37 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 32°C on July 11? | SELL | 0.33 | $3.17 |
| 07-11 12:35 | Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 21°C on July 11? | SELL | 0.16 | $4.80 |