PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

AAAGoose

0xec425fc2e1c91908ae2ebddb4d519ef90ef45ffb

Realised P&L
$636.48
Volume
$277.6k
Markets traded
4,467
Open portfolio
$832.37

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded4,467
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration6.0% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)78.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration8.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on September 20? · No0.9700.975$68.25+$0.35
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 22°C on September 20? · No0.9200.910$63.64$0.70
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 26°C on September 19? · No0.9001.000$49.98+$4.97
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on September 19? · No0.8481.000$49.98+$7.58
Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on September 19? · No0.9600.975$48.75+$0.75
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on September 20? · No0.9500.940$47.00$0.50
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 23°C on September 20? · No0.8620.925$46.25+$3.15
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 23°C on September 20? · No0.8760.885$44.25+$0.43
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 23°C on September 20? · No0.9100.885$40.12$1.13
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 22°C on September 20? · No0.8510.850$39.05$0.04
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 19°C on September 20? · No0.8310.780$39.00$2.57
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 23°C on September 19? · No0.8700.968$37.23+$3.77
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on September 19? · No0.9301.000$29.98+$2.08
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 18°C on September 20? · No0.9440.945$28.70+$0.02
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 24°C on September 19? · No0.9500.955$28.65+$0.15

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-15 14:21Will the highest temperature in Paris be 31°C on July 15?SELL0.33$9.90
07-14 11:53Will the highest temperature in Paris be 34°C on July 14?SELL0.31511$9.45
07-13 19:04Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 9°C on July 13?SELL0.180901$5.43
07-13 14:44Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 25°C on July 13?SELL0.27$8.10
07-13 14:06Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on July 13?SELL0.24$2.06
07-13 04:39Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on July 13?SELL0.3209015391$15.22
07-12 15:01Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 19°C on July 12?SELL0.296182$14.81
07-12 14:28Will the highest temperature in Paris be 35°C on July 12?SELL0.2012262452$10.06
07-12 12:43Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 27°C on July 12?SELL0.32$9.60
07-12 10:56Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 26°C on July 12?SELL0.34$10.20
07-11 15:10Will the highest temperature in Paris be 35°C on July 11?SELL0.20675$6.20
07-11 14:55Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 25°C on July 11?SELL0.2365432$11.83
07-11 13:39Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on July 11?SELL0.243042$12.15
07-11 12:37Will the highest temperature in Milan be 32°C on July 11?SELL0.33$3.17
07-11 12:35Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 21°C on July 11?SELL0.16$4.80