PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 66-67°F on November 4?

Tick
0.01
Min order
5
Fees
0.05 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.25 · takers only
Ends
2026-11-04
Resolves by
https://aviationweather.gov/api/data/metar?ids=KSFO&format=raw&date=2026-11-05T11:00:00Z&hours=30
Rewards
20 min size · 4.5¢ max spread

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.46. up 0.07 over the period, from 0.39. Range 0.39 to 0.47. 5 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.351010
0.365666
0.37571
0.522798
0.5338136
0.5485221
0.5510231
0.6045276
0.61150426
0.625431
0.646437
0.6646482

Spread0.15Mid0.28

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.202828
0.195685
0.1820105
0.1741146
0.1464210
0.1050260
0.0771331
0.055336
0.0379415
0.0222437
0.0132469

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.802828
0.815685
0.8220105
0.8341146
0.8664210
0.9050260
0.9371331
0.955336
0.9779415
0.9822437
0.9932469

Spread0.15Mid0.73

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.651010
0.645666
0.63571
0.482798
0.4738136
0.4685221
0.4510231
0.4045276
0.39150426
0.385431
0.366437
0.3446482

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
OnlyLuckNoBrainYes92
mashuuuuYes86.44
newbie147Yes30
0x973Yes20
weather12345Yes10
gghffYes6.58
ghorrockYes4.04
GoldenRoostYes2.94
0x65f7…8b98No142
MoneyForSky06No34.43
0xa5ef…2966No30
a5533No20
3636yuchensuNo12.99
The-Weather-MenNo6.58
crypt941No6

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
16:22:03BUYYes0.350052537486$30.26
16:21:16BUYYes0.34999989813$1.03
16:21:13BUYNo0.62142$88.04
12:16:51BUYNo0.757$4.94