PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 66-67°F on November 2?

Tick
0.01
Min order
5
Fees
0.05 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.25 · takers only
Ends
2026-11-02
Resolves by
https://aviationweather.gov/api/data/metar?ids=KSFO&format=raw&date=2026-11-03T11:00:00Z&hours=30
Rewards
20 min size · 4.5¢ max spread

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.29. up 0.04 over the period, from 0.25. Range 0.25 to 0.51. 31 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.318686
0.32237323
0.3420343
0.3566408
0.36128536
0.3823559
0.4270629
0.43146776
0.4924800
0.526806
0.547812
0.567819

Spread0.03Mid0.30

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.28136136
0.27737873
0.268881
0.258889
0.249898
0.2174972
0.192101,182
0.18101,192
0.16311,224
0.15241,248
0.13541,301
0.11201,321

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.72136136
0.73737873
0.748881
0.758889
0.769898
0.7974972
0.812101,182
0.82101,192
0.84311,224
0.85241,248
0.87541,301
0.89201,321

Spread0.03Mid0.70

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.698686
0.68237323
0.6620343
0.6566408
0.64128536
0.6223559
0.5870629
0.57146776
0.5124800
0.486806
0.467812
0.447819

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
hfvYes376.2
OnlyLuckNoBrainYes146.33
yellowhpYes131.4
Certified-LoserYes127.29
kerbrervYes126.19
rubby-always-winsYes118.42
Mymycrousty67Yes55.38
0xf8db…ca1dYes50
hn54pVpVmJsjn2CAYes46.8
gaaaydogggggYes35.84
WrongBy1DegreeYes33.44
whhiskyYes30.65
newbie147Yes30
mashuuuuYes26.67
KowalskiyYes22.61
fregdf12fYes21.91
dami-1Yes21
0x973Yes20
0x2dC89DF283eee5F3A694062fa82691F6c39D9c23-1775590736059Yes19.95
ortieoriYes12

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
23:31:46BUYYes0.309999995439$12.00
22:32:06BUYNo0.725$3.60
21:00:42BUYNo0.726$4.32
21:00:40BUYNo0.726$4.32
16:02:21BUYYes0.29999999417$5.00
13:20:03BUYYes0.289161363360$17.24
13:05:03BUYYes0.278787878841$11.50
12:10:03BUYYes0.2699999625$1.42
11:50:09BUYYes0.27999993414$1.02
11:50:04SELLYes0.231$0.34
11:50:03BUYYes0.269999994918$4.77
11:50:03BUYYes0.269999993521$5.80
11:50:03BUYYes0.269059229153$14.30
11:32:10BUYYes0.2348936164127$29.90
11:29:16BUYYes0.2199999789$2.00
11:29:16BUYYes0.2199999789$2.00
11:10:27BUYNo0.7440$29.60
09:12:07BUYNo0.697$4.83
08:56:10SELLYes0.287$1.89
08:56:09BUYYes0.345$1.70
08:55:22BUYNo0.6622$14.52
08:55:22BUYNo0.6699998242$1.18
08:55:22BUYNo0.66999991961$1.00
08:55:22BUYNo0.659999987421$13.60
08:42:00BUYNo0.6515$9.88