ortieori
0x014a7d737f15534da52df714b95863bc429e4f20
- Realised P&L
- $-307.80
- Volume
- $43.2k
- Markets traded
- 2,575
- Open portfolio
- $110.64
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded2,575
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration7.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)32.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration18.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$58.32at 0.740Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET
- +$55.89at 0.750Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET
- +$34.76at 0.765Bitcoin Up or Down - September 14, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET
- +$31.05at 0.750Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET
- +$30.70at 0.782Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-31 22:32 | Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 52-53°F on November 2? | BUY | 0.39 | $4.68 |
| 10-31 20:48 | Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 66-67°F on November 2? | BUY | 0.39 | $4.68 |
| 10-31 20:11 | Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 18°C on November 2? | BUY | 0.4075 | $4.89 |
| 10-31 20:00 | Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 54-55°F on November 2? | BUY | 0.3564285714 | $4.99 |
| 10-31 18:00 | Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 82-83°F on November 2? | BUY | 0.25 | $5.00 |
| 10-31 18:00 | Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 86-87°F on November 2? | BUY | 0.32 | $4.80 |
| 10-31 18:00 | Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 84-85°F on November 2? | BUY | 0.24 | $4.80 |
| 10-31 18:00 | Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 64-65°F on November 2? | BUY | 0.28 | $4.76 |
| 10-31 17:09 | Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 20°C on November 2? | BUY | 0.38 | $4.94 |
| 10-31 17:00 | Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 29°C on November 2? | BUY | 0.2673684211 | $5.08 |
| 10-31 17:00 | Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on November 2? | BUY | 0.36 | $4.68 |
| 10-31 16:53 | Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 22°C on November 2? | BUY | 0.39 | $4.68 |
| 10-31 16:00 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 12°C on November 2? | BUY | 0.3916666667 | $4.70 |
| 10-31 15:35 | Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 18°C on November 2? | BUY | 0.3958333333 | $4.75 |
| 10-31 15:07 | Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 27°C on November 2? | BUY | 0.3958333333 | $4.75 |