PolyBot

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Will the highest temperature in Munich be 7°C on November 3?

Tick
0.01
Min order
5
Fees
0.05 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.25 · takers only
Ends
2026-11-03
Resolves by
https://aviationweather.gov/api/data/metar?ids=EDDM&format=raw&date=2026-11-04T02:00:00Z&hours=30
Rewards
20 min size · 4.5¢ max spread

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.57. up 0.14 over the period, from 0.43. Range 0.43 to 0.60. 19 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.583030
0.59213243
0.60689932
0.6161,00661,937
0.6213062,068
0.63862,075
0.641662,091
0.65662,097
0.6610662,203
0.676062,263
0.68662,269
0.702262,290

Spread0.01Mid0.57

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.572525
0.56240265
0.55529794
0.5428822
0.529831
0.518839
0.4842881
0.4774955
0.4515970
0.445975
0.3320995
0.27201,015

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.432525
0.44240265
0.45529794
0.4628822
0.489831
0.498839
0.5242881
0.5374955
0.5515970
0.565975
0.6720995
0.73201,015

Spread0.01Mid0.42

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.423030
0.41213243
0.40689932
0.3961,00661,937
0.3813062,068
0.37862,075
0.361662,091
0.35662,097
0.3410662,203
0.336062,263
0.32662,269
0.302262,290

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
BilberryYes144.89
Weather-GuruYes138
0xeb1b…87c0Yes101.47
hello.67Yes99.81
0xf8db…ca1dYes50
fregdf12fYes40.98
uranustradesYes38.42
ghlhjkeYes36.59
wildestdogYes35.71
MoneyForSky06Yes35
0x3340d23dE3275300f88ABFD8803B2f9Ea15f13C8-1769572617408Yes32
newbie147Yes30.41
0x2dC89DF283eee5F3A694062fa82691F6c39D9c23-1775590736059Yes29.07
hfvYes21.56
TakeYourTemperatureYes21.26
1x6891589732cf8beaaf424b117d5c5c20919f6bb9Yes20
mustbethewaterYes20
twobonclayYes19.04
weatherwhatYes18.38
3636yuchensuYes10.3

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
23:03:18BUYYes0.56999998864$2.00
22:36:36BUYYes0.56999998862$1.00
20:36:19BUYNo0.44999994678$3.38
20:11:30BUYYes0.544118072818$10.00
20:11:30BUYYes0.53999999339$4.80
20:11:30BUYYes0.5410$5.39
20:11:28BUYYes0.53999995689$5.00
20:11:28BUYYes0.5437$19.98
20:11:28BUYYes0.539999981221$11.48
20:11:28BUYYes0.53999995684$2.00
20:11:28BUYYes0.539999999100$53.90
19:58:39BUYYes0.52999995879$5.00
19:58:37BUYYes0.52999998684$2.00
19:12:13SELLNo0.471$0.33
19:12:04BUYNo0.4459386282111$49.41
19:12:04BUYNo0.513696957232$16.30
19:12:04BUYNo0.456$2.79
19:12:04BUYYes0.59999996636$3.56
19:11:31BUYYes0.5510023024108$59.45
19:11:31BUYYes0.569999988619$11.00
19:11:31SELLNo0.430$0.09
19:11:31BUYYes0.56999994362$1.01
19:11:31BUYYes0.575276867311$6.09
19:06:37BUYNo0.458$3.56
19:06:37BUYNo0.4520$9.00