PolyBot

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Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 18°C on October 20?

Tick
0.01
Min order
5
Fees
0.05 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.25 · takers only
Ends
2026-10-20
Resolves by
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
Rewards
20 min size · 4.5¢ max spread

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.40. up 0.10 over the period, from 0.30. Range 0.29 to 0.53. 51 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.4555
0.462025
0.481035
0.492055
0.501368
0.53876
0.5435111
0.5514125
0.5614140
0.577147
0.587154
0.597161

Spread0.10Mid0.40

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.351515
0.311530
0.30838
0.27745
0.262065
0.232186
0.1221107
0.1140147
0.09169316
0.0781397
0.06400797
0.0580877

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.651515
0.691530
0.70838
0.73745
0.742065
0.772186
0.8821107
0.8940147
0.91169316
0.9381397
0.94400797
0.9580877

Spread0.10Mid0.60

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.5555
0.542025
0.521035
0.512055
0.501368
0.47876
0.4635111
0.4514125
0.4414140
0.437147
0.427154
0.417161

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
241532532432Yes188.5
hunti124Yes125.74
weatherguruYes108.25
kerbrervYes106.75
SuperjoyYes103.85
tradetosurvive1Yes92.46
alpha4-4Yes67.15
0x973Yes65
onchainzeusYes60
jeyzYes54.05
WeatherPeen69Yes48.1
0x496f76BD5Cf4c2819C710aE90Ed1C84B2dc6FA5D-1773782287927Yes43.17
PoligarchYes29.17
krbrvYes28.13
sleeper-serviceYes27.86
HWRebornYes23.35
KakawhereugoYes22.3
mashuuuuYes21.55
Mini.Yes21.01
hn54pVpVmJsjn2CAYes20.92

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
10:10:42BUYYes0.449999994920$8.81
10:07:39BUYNo0.66207436410$6.77
10:07:18BUYNo0.592$1.41
10:07:17BUYNo0.5928$16.29
09:57:39BUYNo0.6910$6.90
09:44:38BUYYes0.4624$11.04
09:41:06BUYYes0.448$3.71
09:41:06BUYYes0.43999985922$1.00
09:40:45BUYYes0.465$2.30
09:35:33SELLYes0.435$2.16
09:34:36BUYYes0.475$2.35
09:28:32BUYYes0.395$1.95
09:20:59BUYYes0.409999994812$4.75
09:19:12BUYNo0.613$7.68
09:19:12BUYNo0.634$20.40
09:13:18BUYNo0.5710$5.79
08:26:28BUYNo0.5315$7.95
08:15:46BUYYes0.465$2.30
07:43:50BUYYes0.426859921547$20.00
07:43:50BUYYes0.450880099411$4.85
07:42:47BUYNo0.64833127328$5.25
07:42:46BUYNo0.645$3.20
07:42:46BUYNo0.65$3.00
07:12:43BUYNo0.58999974042$1.00
07:12:41BUYYes0.42396066228$3.51