weatherguru
0xaff9c02cbf68cdd744609279e41122c8803b64ff
- Realised P&L
- $-13.6k
- Volume
- $545.7k
- Markets traded
- 3,283
- Open portfolio
- $307.49
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded3,283
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration5.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration13.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$603.06at 0.106Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on May 28?
- +$602.87at 0.092Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on April 27?
- +$589.41at 0.120Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on April 29?
- +$584.31at 0.109Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 27°C on May 4?
- +$518.96at 0.238Will the highest temperature in Busan be 29°C on May 16?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-18 00:04 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on September 19? | BUY | 0.42 | $24.36 |
| 09-18 00:04 | Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 32°C on September 19? | BUY | 0.34 | $24.14 |
| 09-18 00:04 | Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 35°C on September 19? | BUY | 0.37 | $5.04 |
| 09-18 00:04 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on September 19? | BUY | 0.203697479 | $24.24 |
| 09-18 00:04 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on September 19? | BUY | 0.29 | $24.07 |
| 09-17 06:04 | Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 24°C on September 18? | BUY | 0.33 | $24.09 |
| 09-17 06:04 | Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 23°C on September 18? | BUY | 0.1225526042 | $23.53 |
| 09-17 06:04 | Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on September 18? | BUY | 0.1536934441 | $21.64 |
| 09-17 06:04 | Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 22°C on September 18? | BUY | 0.4066653201 | $20.13 |
| 09-17 00:04 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on September 18? | BUY | 0.37 | $24.05 |
| 09-17 00:04 | Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 32°C on September 18? | BUY | 0.38 | $24.32 |
| 09-17 00:04 | Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 35°C on September 18? | BUY | 0.25 | $24.00 |
| 09-17 00:04 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on September 18? | BUY | 0.43 | $24.08 |
| 09-17 00:04 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on September 18? | BUY | 0.1796376812 | $24.79 |
| 09-16 12:04 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on September 17? | BUY | 0.1896183206 | $24.84 |