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Traders

weatherguru

0xaff9c02cbf68cdd744609279e41122c8803b64ff

Realised P&L
$-13.6k
Volume
$545.7k
Markets traded
3,283
Open portfolio
$307.49

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded3,283
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration5.9% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration13.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 32°C on September 18? · Yes0.3800.635$40.64+$16.32
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on September 18? · Yes0.4300.670$37.52+$13.44
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 24°C on September 18? · Yes0.3300.430$31.39+$7.30
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on September 19? · Yes0.2040.220$26.18+$1.94
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 32°C on September 19? · Yes0.3400.360$25.56+$1.42
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 22°C on September 18? · Yes0.4070.420$25.20+$0.77
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on September 19? · Yes0.4200.410$23.78$0.58
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 35°C on September 19? · Yes0.3780.335$21.77$2.79
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on September 19? · Yes0.2900.235$19.50$4.56
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 35°C on September 18? · Yes0.2500.195$18.72$5.28
Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on September 18? · Yes0.1540.105$16.38$7.69
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 23°C on September 18? · Yes0.1220.065$12.48$11.05
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on September 18? · Yes0.3700.065$4.22$19.82
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on September 18? · Yes0.1800.030$4.14$20.65
Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on July 19? · Yes0.4100.000$0.00$24.19

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-18 00:04Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on September 19?BUY0.42$24.36
09-18 00:04Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 32°C on September 19?BUY0.34$24.14
09-18 00:04Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 35°C on September 19?BUY0.37$5.04
09-18 00:04Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on September 19?BUY0.203697479$24.24
09-18 00:04Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on September 19?BUY0.29$24.07
09-17 06:04Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 24°C on September 18?BUY0.33$24.09
09-17 06:04Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 23°C on September 18?BUY0.1225526042$23.53
09-17 06:04Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on September 18?BUY0.1536934441$21.64
09-17 06:04Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 22°C on September 18?BUY0.4066653201$20.13
09-17 00:04Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on September 18?BUY0.37$24.05
09-17 00:04Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 32°C on September 18?BUY0.38$24.32
09-17 00:04Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 35°C on September 18?BUY0.25$24.00
09-17 00:04Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on September 18?BUY0.43$24.08
09-17 00:04Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on September 18?BUY0.1796376812$24.79
09-16 12:04Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on September 17?BUY0.1896183206$24.84
Trader weatherguru · PolyBot Pro