Superjoy
0x407cdc239381fe9afe6b406bb686addfb7d590ff
- Realised P&L
- $58.80
- Volume
- $609.97
- Markets traded
- 7
- Open portfolio
- $49.25
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar9.6%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- BlockerMarkets traded7
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample1 position
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration51.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Munich be 26°C on September 16? · Yes | 0.400 | 0.425 | $25.50 | +$1.50 |
| Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 29°C on September 16? · Yes | 0.350 | 0.250 | $15.00 | −$6.00 |
| Will the highest temperature in Paris be 21°C on September 16? · Yes | 0.200 | 0.050 | $5.00 | −$15.00 |
| Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 20°C on September 16? · Yes | 0.120 | 0.075 | $3.00 | −$1.80 |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on September 16? · Yes | 0.050 | 0.015 | $0.75 | −$1.75 |
| Will the highest temperature in Milan be 26°C on September 15? · Yes | 0.080 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$8.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$87.53at 0.562Will the highest temperature in Milan be 27°C on September 15?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-15 10:29 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 21°C on September 16? | BUY | 0.2 | $12.00 |
| 09-15 00:52 | Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on September 16? | BUY | 0.05 | $2.50 |
| 09-15 00:52 | Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 20°C on September 16? | BUY | 0.12 | $0.60 |
| 09-15 00:52 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 29°C on September 16? | BUY | 0.35 | $1.75 |
| 09-14 10:28 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 27°C on September 15? | BUY | 0.55 | $110.00 |