sleeper-service
0x0484bf76425db5021ce2d369f78fc125906d4830
- Realised P&L
- $10.1k
- Volume
- $1.34M
- Markets traded
- 19,328
- Open portfolio
- $2.2k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded19,328
- Far too many to mirror. This is automated flow across the whole venue, not a set of considered positions — copying it means rebuilding their infrastructure, at which point you are not copying anyone.
- ClearProfit concentration20.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)84.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration14.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$545.69at 0.279Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 72-73°F on June 29?
- +$456.50at 0.137Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on June 21?
- +$422.21at 0.179Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 32°C on July 14?
- +$404.96at 0.122Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on May 16?
- +$403.85at 0.130Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on September 13?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-16 13:21 | Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 26°C on September 16? | BUY | 0.5 | $17.13 |
| 09-16 13:13 | Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 25°C on September 16? | BUY | 0.4459366237 | $12.50 |
| 09-16 13:13 | Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 66-67°F on September 16? | BUY | 0.2460601719 | $6.87 |
| 09-16 13:13 | Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 74-75°F on September 16? | BUY | 0.6258930861 | $30.48 |
| 09-16 13:13 | Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 98-99°F on September 16? | BUY | 0.6862714048 | $30.15 |
| 09-16 13:13 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on September 16? | BUY | 0.6499999976 | $13.82 |
| 09-16 13:13 | Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on September 16? | BUY | 0.2872380877 | $8.32 |
| 09-16 13:13 | Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 98-99°F on September 16? | BUY | 0.5 | $15.89 |
| 09-16 12:21 | Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 25°C on September 16? | BUY | 0.4699999852 | $8.92 |
| 09-16 12:21 | Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 26°C on September 16? | BUY | 0.5108718489 | $16.79 |
| 09-16 12:13 | Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 72-73°F on September 16? | BUY | 0.5468328221 | $19.89 |
| 09-16 12:13 | Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 74-75°F on September 16? | BUY | 0.6867572945 | $29.65 |
| 09-16 12:13 | Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 98-99°F on September 16? | BUY | 0.713438272 | $23.92 |
| 09-16 12:13 | Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 19°C on September 16? | BUY | 0.8699999951 | $14.11 |
| 09-16 12:13 | Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on September 16? | BUY | 0.4356233417 | $10.67 |