PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

sleeper-service

0x0484bf76425db5021ce2d369f78fc125906d4830

Realised P&L
$10.1k
Volume
$1.34M
Markets traded
19,328
Open portfolio
$2.2k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded19,328
Far too many to mirror. This is automated flow across the whole venue, not a set of considered positions — copying it means rebuilding their infrastructure, at which point you are not copying anyone.
ClearProfit concentration20.4% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)84.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration14.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 25°C on September 16? · Yes0.5021.000$316.65+$157.55
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 74-75°F on September 16? · Yes0.6681.000$267.36+$88.73
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 98-99°F on September 16? · Yes0.6921.000$253.45+$77.98
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 26°C on September 16? · Yes0.4761.000$241.92+$126.61
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on September 16? · Yes0.6501.000$231.69+$81.11
Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on September 16? · Yes0.6511.000$230.57+$80.37
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 19°C on September 16? · Yes0.7081.000$194.27+$56.70
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 98-99°F on September 16? · Yes0.4211.000$155.18+$89.77
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 14°C on September 16? · Yes0.4131.000$125.52+$73.66
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 88-89°F on September 16? · Yes0.5681.000$100.02+$43.21
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 19°C on September 16? · Yes0.3101.000$24.00+$16.56
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 100-101°F on July 9? · Yes0.4201.000$9.43+$5.47
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 66-67°F on September 16? · Yes0.2560.001$0.04$21.86
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 84-85°F on September 16? · Yes0.3010.001$0.02$13.99
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 82-83°F on September 16? · Yes0.2700.001$0.00$2.36

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-16 13:21Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 26°C on September 16?BUY0.5$17.13
09-16 13:13Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 25°C on September 16?BUY0.4459366237$12.50
09-16 13:13Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 66-67°F on September 16?BUY0.2460601719$6.87
09-16 13:13Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 74-75°F on September 16?BUY0.6258930861$30.48
09-16 13:13Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 98-99°F on September 16?BUY0.6862714048$30.15
09-16 13:13Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on September 16?BUY0.6499999976$13.82
09-16 13:13Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on September 16?BUY0.2872380877$8.32
09-16 13:13Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 98-99°F on September 16?BUY0.5$15.89
09-16 12:21Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 25°C on September 16?BUY0.4699999852$8.92
09-16 12:21Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 26°C on September 16?BUY0.5108718489$16.79
09-16 12:13Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 72-73°F on September 16?BUY0.5468328221$19.89
09-16 12:13Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 74-75°F on September 16?BUY0.6867572945$29.65
09-16 12:13Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 98-99°F on September 16?BUY0.713438272$23.92
09-16 12:13Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 19°C on September 16?BUY0.8699999951$14.11
09-16 12:13Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on September 16?BUY0.4356233417$10.67