PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 86-87°F on November 2?

Tick
0.01
Min order
5
Fees
0.05 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.25 · takers only
Ends
2026-11-02
Resolves by
https://aviationweather.gov/api/data/metar?ids=KHOU&format=raw&date=2026-11-03T09:00:00Z&hours=30
Rewards
20 min size · 4.5¢ max spread

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.29. up 0.14 over the period, from 0.14. Range 0.09 to 0.29. 37 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.3055
0.31172177
0.3280257
0.3336293
0.3418311
0.3513324
0.3630354
0.395359
0.40350709
0.41201909
0.438871,797
0.45361,833

Spread0.02Mid0.29

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.282727
0.27120147
0.26305452
0.2510462
0.249472
0.1947519
0.1544563
0.1436599
0.1310609
0.1242650
0.1120670
0.1070740

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.722727
0.73120147
0.74305452
0.7510462
0.769472
0.8147519
0.8544563
0.8636599
0.8710609
0.8842650
0.8920670
0.9070740

Spread0.02Mid0.71

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.7055
0.69172177
0.6880257
0.6736293
0.6618311
0.6513324
0.6430354
0.615359
0.60350709
0.59201909
0.578871,797
0.55361,833

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
OnlyLuckNoBrainYes887.47
rubby-always-winsYes615.28
newbie147Yes260
kerbrervYes211.17
hfvYes171.97
WrongBy1DegreeYes132.66
lucikdemonYes94.1
yellowhpYes92.05
mashuuuuYes78.51
0xf8db…ca1dYes50
mustbethewaterYes41.16
mahmud-abula-ibn-mahmudYes41
pppnnYes36
1x6891589732cf8beaaf424b117d5c5c20919f6bb9Yes28.73
gaaaydogggggYes25.2
cdi.botYes20.94
weather12345Yes17.6
CharlieNewhouseYes12.5
0x4466E4E1b19A4694720Be66dE70c7E78CA28446E-1765020180330Yes11
LornaPredictsYes10.44

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
00:15:52BUYYes0.292442978311$3.27
00:01:51BUYNo0.736$4.38
00:00:52BUYNo0.735$3.65
00:00:03BUYYes0.279999994947$13.13
23:40:04SELLYes0.240$0.04
23:40:03BUYYes0.2699999996163$43.94
23:40:03BUYYes0.27752211620$5.60
23:28:22BUYYes0.279$2.41
23:23:36SELLYes0.220$0.06
23:23:34BUYYes0.259999997121$5.40
23:23:34BUYYes0.2688$22.75
22:20:03BUYYes0.2163$32.55
21:20:24BUYYes0.2104$20.80
19:53:31BUYYes0.212$2.40
19:06:21BUYYes0.210$2.00
19:06:21BUYYes0.215$3.00
16:01:37BUYYes0.2151111192$19.80
14:38:52BUYNo0.819$15.42
14:30:03BUYYes0.2320136773101$23.52
14:10:03BUYYes0.208400943515$3.18
14:06:04BUYYes0.1932$6.00
13:50:09BUYYes0.185$0.90
13:50:03BUYYes0.188187018628$5.19
13:21:06SELLYes0.131$0.08
13:21:04BUYYes0.1638$6.00