CharlieNewhouse
0xdfe542f4dd3053e3afc2c99d74dc3273f76057c0
- Realised P&L
- $-1.3k
- Volume
- $54.9k
- Markets traded
- 2,252
- Open portfolio
- $53.67
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded2,252
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration11.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)30.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration21.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$204.89at 0.024Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 58-59°F on October 25?
- +$74.84at 0.123Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET
- +$60.04at 0.149Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET
- +$56.29at 0.466Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET
- +$52.56at 0.528Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-02 01:05 | Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on November 2? | BUY | 0.4399999922 | $2.27 |
| 11-01 20:04 | Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C on November 3? | BUY | 0.32 | $2.00 |
| 11-01 19:14 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 12°C on November 3? | BUY | 0.2399999808 | $2.00 |
| 11-01 19:06 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 6°C on November 3? | BUY | 0.2899999884 | $2.00 |
| 11-01 12:03 | Will the highest temperature in Manila be 35°C on November 2? | BUY | 0.2599999896 | $2.00 |
| 11-01 11:02 | Will the highest temperature in Busan be 18°C on November 2? | BUY | 0.1899999962 | $2.00 |
| 11-01 01:22 | Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 58-59°F on October 31? | SELL | 0.999 | $11.37 |
| 11-01 01:05 | Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 64-65°F on November 2? | BUY | 0.2899999884 | $2.00 |
| 11-01 01:03 | Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 86-87°F on November 2? | BUY | 0.16 | $2.00 |
| 11-01 00:02 | Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 64-65°F on November 1? | BUY | 0.2099999895 | $2.00 |
| 10-31 20:01 | Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 50-51°F on October 31? | BUY | 0.2323333333 | $3.48 |
| 10-31 20:00 | Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 54-55°F on October 31? | BUY | 0.1995012469 | $2.00 |
| 10-31 20:00 | Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 56-57°F on October 31? | BUY | 0.3026858649 | $5.00 |
| 10-31 19:58 | Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 74-75°F on October 31? | BUY | 0.2820485888 | $5.00 |
| 10-31 19:51 | Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on October 31? | BUY | 0.6138613606 | $5.00 |