PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

CharlieNewhouse

0xdfe542f4dd3053e3afc2c99d74dc3273f76057c0

Realised P&L
$-1.3k
Volume
$54.9k
Markets traded
2,252
Open portfolio
$53.67

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded2,252
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration11.8% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)30.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration21.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 84-85°F on November 1? · Yes0.1741.000$11.49+$9.49
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 78-79°F on November 1? · Yes0.2441.000$8.20+$6.20
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on November 1? · Yes0.3000.995$6.63+$4.63
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 60-61°F on November 1? · Yes0.4301.000$5.16+$2.94
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 18°C on November 2? · Yes0.1900.455$4.79+$2.79
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 86-87°F on November 2? · Yes0.1600.300$3.75+$1.75
Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C on November 3? · Yes0.3200.425$2.66+$0.66
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 6°C on November 3? · Yes0.2900.365$2.52+$0.52
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on November 2? · Yes0.4400.470$2.42+$0.15
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 64-65°F on November 2? · Yes0.2900.345$2.38+$0.38
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 35°C on November 2? · Yes0.2600.255$1.96−$0.04
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 12°C on November 3? · Yes0.2400.205$1.71−$0.29
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 64-65°F on November 1? · Yes0.2100.001$0.00−$2.00
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 25°C on November 1? · Yes0.4000.001$0.00−$2.06
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 20°C on October 31? · Yes0.1370.000$0.00−$2.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-02 01:05Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on November 2?BUY0.4399999922$2.27
11-01 20:04Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C on November 3?BUY0.32$2.00
11-01 19:14Will the highest temperature in Paris be 12°C on November 3?BUY0.2399999808$2.00
11-01 19:06Will the highest temperature in Munich be 6°C on November 3?BUY0.2899999884$2.00
11-01 12:03Will the highest temperature in Manila be 35°C on November 2?BUY0.2599999896$2.00
11-01 11:02Will the highest temperature in Busan be 18°C on November 2?BUY0.1899999962$2.00
11-01 01:22Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 58-59°F on October 31?SELL0.999$11.37
11-01 01:05Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 64-65°F on November 2?BUY0.2899999884$2.00
11-01 01:03Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 86-87°F on November 2?BUY0.16$2.00
11-01 00:02Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 64-65°F on November 1?BUY0.2099999895$2.00
10-31 20:01Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 50-51°F on October 31?BUY0.2323333333$3.48
10-31 20:00Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 54-55°F on October 31?BUY0.1995012469$2.00
10-31 20:00Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 56-57°F on October 31?BUY0.3026858649$5.00
10-31 19:58Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 74-75°F on October 31?BUY0.2820485888$5.00
10-31 19:51Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on October 31?BUY0.6138613606$5.00