0x4466E4E1b19A4694720Be66dE70c7E78CA28446E-1765020180330
0x4466e4e1b19a4694720be66de70c7e78ca28446e
- Realised P&L
- $-2.7k
- Volume
- $1.05M
- Markets traded
- 9,918
- Open portfolio
- $16.40
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded9,918
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration12.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration37.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$400.00at 0.500Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET
- +$400.00at 0.500Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET
- +$400.00at 0.500Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET
- +$400.00at 0.500Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET
- +$400.00at 0.500Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-14 19:16 | Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 23°C on October 14? | BUY | 0.001 | $5.00 |
| 10-14 14:34 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 27°C on October 14? | BUY | 0.5707384592 | $4.93 |
| 10-14 05:31 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 24°C on October 14? | BUY | 0.9681157574 | $9.74 |
| 10-08 03:12 | Tampa Bay Rays vs. New York Yankees | SELL | 0.11 | $0.73 |
| 10-08 03:12 | Tampa Bay Rays vs. New York Yankees | BUY | 0.1499999925 | $1.00 |
| 08-11 06:23 | Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? | SELL | 0.26 | $52.00 |
| 07-09 16:43 | Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 9 to July 11, 2026? | SELL | 0.37 | $7.38 |
| 07-09 16:19 | Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from July 9 to July 11, 2026? | SELL | 0.01 | $0.20 |
| 07-09 15:07 | Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026? | SELL | 0.003 | $0.42 |
| 07-09 15:07 | Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026? | SELL | 0.003 | $0.06 |
| 07-09 14:09 | Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from July 9 to July 11, 2026? | SELL | 0.061 | $1.22 |
| 07-09 14:04 | Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from July 9 to July 11, 2026? | SELL | 0.014 | $0.28 |
| 07-09 13:39 | Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from July 9 to July 11, 2026? | SELL | 0.002 | $0.04 |
| 07-09 08:40 | Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from July 9 to July 11, 2026? | SELL | 0.23 | $2.53 |
| 07-09 08:01 | Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026? | SELL | 0.09 | $0.63 |