PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x4466E4E1b19A4694720Be66dE70c7E78CA28446E-1765020180330

0x4466e4e1b19a4694720be66de70c7e78ca28446e

Realised P&L
$-2.7k
Volume
$1.05M
Markets traded
9,918
Open portfolio
$16.40

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded9,918
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration12.5% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)66.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration37.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Brighton win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? · Yes0.0220.030$6.10+$1.75
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 23°C on October 14? · Yes0.0010.001$2.50−$2.50
Will Manchester United win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? · Yes0.0220.008$1.60−$2.75
Will Hull City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? · Yes0.0220.005$1.00−$3.35
Will Brentford win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? · Yes0.0220.004$0.90−$3.45
Will Leeds United win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? · Yes0.0220.004$0.70−$3.65
Will Aston Villa win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? · Yes0.0220.004$0.70−$3.65
Will Newcastle United win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? · Yes0.0220.003$0.50−$3.85
Will Coventry City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? · Yes0.0220.002$0.30−$4.05
Will Fulham win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? · Yes0.0220.002$0.30−$4.05
Will Ipswich Town win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? · Yes0.0220.002$0.30−$4.05
Will Nottingham Forest win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? · Yes0.0220.002$0.30−$4.05
Will Everton win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? · Yes0.0220.002$0.30−$4.05
Will Bournemouth win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? · Yes0.5000.002$0.30−$99.70
Will Crystal Palace win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? · Yes0.0220.002$0.30−$4.05

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-14 19:16Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 23°C on October 14?BUY0.001$5.00
10-14 14:34Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 27°C on October 14?BUY0.5707384592$4.93
10-14 05:31Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 24°C on October 14?BUY0.9681157574$9.74
10-08 03:12Tampa Bay Rays vs. New York YankeesSELL0.11$0.73
10-08 03:12Tampa Bay Rays vs. New York YankeesBUY0.1499999925$1.00
08-11 06:23Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?SELL0.26$52.00
07-09 16:43Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 9 to July 11, 2026?SELL0.37$7.38
07-09 16:19Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from July 9 to July 11, 2026?SELL0.01$0.20
07-09 15:07Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?SELL0.003$0.42
07-09 15:07Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?SELL0.003$0.06
07-09 14:09Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from July 9 to July 11, 2026?SELL0.061$1.22
07-09 14:04Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from July 9 to July 11, 2026?SELL0.014$0.28
07-09 13:39Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from July 9 to July 11, 2026?SELL0.002$0.04
07-09 08:40Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from July 9 to July 11, 2026?SELL0.23$2.53
07-09 08:01Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?SELL0.09$0.63