PolyBot

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Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 72-73°F on November 3?

Tick
0.01
Min order
5
Fees
0.05 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.25 · takers only
Ends
2026-11-03
Resolves by
https://aviationweather.gov/api/data/metar?ids=KORD&format=raw&date=2026-11-04T09:00:00Z&hours=30
Rewards
20 min size · 4.5¢ max spread

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.27. down 0.03 over the period, from 0.29. Range 0.12 to 0.30. 18 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.271010
0.281020
0.291030
0.315989
0.3221110
0.3753163
0.3810173
0.4260233
0.4520253
0.4752305
0.4850355
0.526361

Spread0.01Mid0.27

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.26230230
0.2520250
0.2213263
0.2114278
0.1928306
0.1851356
0.1710366
0.1585450
0.14250700
0.1364764
0.09156920
0.055925

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.74230230
0.7520250
0.7813263
0.7914278
0.8128306
0.8251356
0.8310366
0.8585450
0.86250700
0.8764764
0.91156920
0.955925

Spread0.01Mid0.73

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.731010
0.721020
0.711030
0.695989
0.6821110
0.6353163
0.6210173
0.5860233
0.5520253
0.5352305
0.5250355
0.486361

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
gghffYes127.68
hn54pVpVmJsjn2CAYes112.54
yellowhpYes89.89
0xf8db…ca1dYes50
0xSPBBYes40.5
jensondYes33.76
a5533Yes31.75
newbie147Yes30
0x4466E4E1b19A4694720Be66dE70c7E78CA28446E-1765020180330Yes25.04
hokinadoYes25
thetravelguyYes22.95
televisionloudYes20
LornaPredictsYes20
shipingYes20
mashuuuuYes19.43
0x1455…b860Yes17.62
0x496f76BD5Cf4c2819C710aE90Ed1C84B2dc6FA5D-1773782287927Yes13.42
fgdjlnoYes13.24
0xd92E85FC29753859a87662FE7E9157376e516A51-1784367738753Yes11
Jorma22Yes10.3

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
00:44:40BUYYes0.235$1.15
00:07:24BUYYes0.269999981510$2.78
00:06:33SELLYes0.220$4.00
00:06:09SELLYes0.192$0.33
00:06:06BUYNo0.791002891776$60.18
00:06:06BUYNo0.7535733267218$164.16
23:42:39BUYYes0.211$0.15
23:41:21BUYYes0.2111$2.31
23:41:00BUYYes0.218$1.68
23:37:16SELLYes0.220$0.01
23:37:15BUYNo0.7457686883142$105.75
23:37:15BUYNo0.7648$36.48
23:37:13BUYNo0.7714$10.99
23:37:13BUYNo0.7820$15.60
22:15:00BUYNo0.73999998296$4.34
22:13:33BUYNo0.73999997347$5.00
22:13:33BUYNo0.745$3.70
22:13:33BUYNo0.7141$28.90
22:13:33BUYNo0.709999995956$39.75
21:29:13BUYYes0.2401744397113$27.03
19:44:34BUYYes0.229999995419$4.47
18:55:06BUYNo0.85$4.00
18:50:03BUYYes0.2411$2.70
18:29:00BUYYes0.21782177723$5.00
18:04:21BUYYes0.2549135379$20.05