PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Jorma22

0xc1405e472f31f678dd0797996efa73d7a043786e

Realised P&L
$-22.96
Volume
$11.4k
Markets traded
131
Open portfolio
$23.39

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded131
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration9.4% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)86.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration23.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 30°C on September 19? · No0.4600.510$5.54+$0.54
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on September 19? · No0.8300.835$5.03+$0.03
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 24°C on September 19? · Yes0.2300.225$4.89$0.11
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 76-77°F on September 19? · No0.6600.635$4.81$0.19
Will the lowest temperature in Los Angeles be between 64-65°F on September 18? · Yes0.4400.245$2.01$1.60
Will the lowest temperature in Singapore be 25°C on September 19? · No0.8000.720$1.03$0.11
Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 Superheavy booster? · Yes0.0690.005$0.08$0.92
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 30°C on July 22? · Yes0.2100.000$0.00$1.81
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on July 11? · No0.7200.000$0.00$1.00
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 30°C on July 29? · Yes0.2500.000$0.00$1.14
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 38°C on July 28? · Yes0.0900.000$0.00$1.59
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 36°C on July 29? · Yes0.1900.000$0.00$1.24
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 20°C on July 25? · No0.6400.000$0.00$3.75
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 40°C on July 24? · No0.6400.000$0.00$2.25
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on July 11? · Yes0.1880.000$0.00$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-18 00:07Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 76-77°F on September 19?BUY0.659999963$5.00
09-18 00:07Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 24°C on September 19?BUY0.229999994$5.00
09-17 10:08Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 30°C on September 19?BUY0.4599999669$5.00
09-17 10:08Will the lowest temperature in Singapore be 25°C on September 19?BUY0.8$1.14
09-17 09:07Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on September 19?BUY0.8299999967$5.00
09-17 07:26Will the lowest temperature in Los Angeles be between 64-65°F on September 18?BUY0.4399999707$3.61
09-15 09:41Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on September 16?BUY0.219999978$1.00
08-17 18:11Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 Superheavy booster?BUY0.0692383141$1.00
07-28 10:00Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 26°C on July 30?BUY0.4699999181$1.32
07-28 10:00Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 42°C or higher on July 30?BUY0.2999999214$2.29
07-28 07:00Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 40°C on July 30?BUY0.7799999705$4.23
07-27 22:00Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 36°C on July 29?BUY0.1899998989$1.24
07-27 16:00Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 39°C on July 29?BUY0.82$3.07
07-27 14:00Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 38°C on July 28?BUY0.2199999413$2.70
07-27 12:00Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 37°C on July 29?BUY0.3$1.26