0xd92E85FC29753859a87662FE7E9157376e516A51-1784367738753
0xd92e85fc29753859a87662fe7e9157376e516a51
- Realised P&L
- $159.50
- Volume
- $3.2k
- Markets traded
- 55
- Open portfolio
- $199.11
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar5.1%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded55
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration32.3% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample28 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)25.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration57.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$141.25at 0.264Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 20°C on October 25?
- +$127.38at 0.230Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 68-69°F on October 24?
- +$84.84at 0.400Will the highest temperature in Milan be 17°C on October 28?
- +$54.57at 0.490Will the highest temperature in Milan be 17°C on October 27?
- +$15.80at 0.210Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 13°C on October 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 23:41 | Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 72-73°F on November 3? | BUY | 0.21 | $2.31 |
| 11-01 19:18 | Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 12°C on November 3? | BUY | 0.2 | $1.24 |
| 11-01 19:18 | Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 12°C on November 3? | BUY | 0.18 | $10.80 |
| 11-01 13:30 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on November 3? | BUY | 0.18 | $3.60 |
| 11-01 02:36 | Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on November 2? | BUY | 0.38 | $11.40 |
| 11-01 02:35 | Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on November 2? | BUY | 0.38 | $21.28 |
| 11-01 02:00 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on November 2? | BUY | 0.33 | $1.65 |
| 11-01 01:49 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on November 2? | BUY | 0.33 | $3.30 |
| 10-31 15:04 | Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on November 2? | BUY | 0.25 | $1.44 |
| 10-31 12:36 | Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 7°C on November 2? | BUY | 0.39 | $15.60 |
| 10-31 12:25 | Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 7°C on November 2? | BUY | 0.39 | $5.85 |
| 10-31 01:09 | Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 25°C on November 1? | BUY | 0.32 | $6.40 |
| 10-30 21:45 | Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on November 1? | BUY | 0.39 | $5.07 |
| 10-30 21:40 | Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on November 1? | BUY | 0.28 | $32.20 |
| 10-30 20:10 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 12°C on November 1? | BUY | 0.26 | $9.10 |