PolyBot

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Traders

0xd92E85FC29753859a87662FE7E9157376e516A51-1784367738753

0xd92e85fc29753859a87662fe7e9157376e516a51

Realised P&L
$159.50
Volume
$3.2k
Markets traded
55
Open portfolio
$199.11

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar5.1%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
ClearMarkets traded55
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration32.3% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample28 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)25.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration57.7% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on November 1? · Yes0.2800.999$114.89+$82.69
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on November 2? · Yes0.3800.445$38.27+$5.59
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 12°C on November 3? · Yes0.1820.275$18.20+$6.17
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 7°C on November 2? · Yes0.3900.330$18.15−$3.30
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on November 3? · Yes0.1800.185$3.70+$0.10
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 72-73°F on November 3? · Yes0.2100.215$2.37+$0.06
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on November 2? · Yes0.3300.150$2.25−$2.70
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on November 2? · Yes0.2500.215$1.24−$0.20
Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C on November 1? · Yes0.2000.001$0.03−$11.97
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 25°C on November 1? · Yes0.3200.001$0.01−$6.39
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on November 1? · Yes0.3900.001$0.01−$5.06
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 68-69°F on October 25? · Yes0.2330.000$0.00−$49.44
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on October 28? · Yes0.3200.000$0.00−$15.52
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 17°C on October 24? · Yes0.1700.000$0.00−$9.00
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 13°C on October 25? · Yes0.3200.000$0.00−$35.84

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-01 23:41Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 72-73°F on November 3?BUY0.21$2.31
11-01 19:18Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 12°C on November 3?BUY0.2$1.24
11-01 19:18Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 12°C on November 3?BUY0.18$10.80
11-01 13:30Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on November 3?BUY0.18$3.60
11-01 02:36Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on November 2?BUY0.38$11.40
11-01 02:35Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on November 2?BUY0.38$21.28
11-01 02:00Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on November 2?BUY0.33$1.65
11-01 01:49Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on November 2?BUY0.33$3.30
10-31 15:04Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on November 2?BUY0.25$1.44
10-31 12:36Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 7°C on November 2?BUY0.39$15.60
10-31 12:25Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 7°C on November 2?BUY0.39$5.85
10-31 01:09Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 25°C on November 1?BUY0.32$6.40
10-30 21:45Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on November 1?BUY0.39$5.07
10-30 21:40Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on November 1?BUY0.28$32.20
10-30 20:10Will the highest temperature in Milan be 12°C on November 1?BUY0.26$9.10