Fed rate cut by October 2026 meeting?

Tick: 0.001
Min order: 5
Fees: 0.05 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.25 · takers only
Ends: 2026-11-08
Rewards: 50 min size · 4.5¢ max spread

Price history

charttable

Yes. Currently 0.014. down 0.022 over the period, from 0.036. Range 0.013 to 0.036. 168 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live

Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.016	17,509	17,509
0.017	270	17,779
0.018	7,500	25,279
0.019	1,000	26,279
0.023	205	26,483
0.026	811	27,294
0.028	115	27,409
0.029	1,000	28,409
0.030	1,000	29,409
0.032	500	29,909
0.033	520	30,429
0.035	1,000	31,429

Spread0.004Mid0.014

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.012	1,000	1,000
0.011	1,100	2,100
0.010	100	2,200
0.009	6,492	8,692
0.008	3,100	11,792
0.007	714	12,506
0.006	833	13,339
0.005	3,775	17,114
0.004	7,950	25,064
0.003	29,186	54,250
0.002	12,581	66,831
0.001	1,674,613	1,741,444

No

Live

No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.988	1,000	1,000
0.989	1,100	2,100
0.990	100	2,200
0.991	6,492	8,692
0.992	3,100	11,792
0.993	714	12,506
0.994	833	13,339
0.995	3,775	17,114
0.996	7,950	25,064
0.997	29,186	54,250
0.998	12,581	66,831
0.999	1,674,613	1,741,444

Spread0.004Mid0.986

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.984	17,509	17,509
0.983	270	17,779
0.982	7,500	25,279
0.981	1,000	26,279
0.977	205	26,483
0.974	811	27,294
0.972	115	27,409
0.971	1,000	28,409
0.970	1,000	29,409
0.968	500	29,909
0.967	520	30,429
0.965	1,000	31,429

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
Holder	Outcome	Shares
truthteller	Yes	16,884.21
fafafafafafafafsadasdq	Yes	6,632.72
HolyMoses7	Yes	3,310.03
cakoy	Yes	2,089.93
hzb8848	Yes	1,999.99
liftfordid	Yes	1,907.35
0x0Cf2bb6638E101a5ADFB122c3bc74027C2a16751-1781137472324	Yes	1,340.34
cryptolev	Yes	999.99
0x3448…d09b	Yes	990.59
neutralwave23	Yes	951.87
0x987744DD0dfF17A70622BcE462269483366113A8-1763382772978	Yes	869.77
CryptoAddict	Yes	655
0x35E3F0485eB163F8a74420aee0f334a5BEEa3D33-1771973881063	Yes	647.14
Dr.PNL	Yes	599.99
xckute	Yes	530
Convex79	Yes	454.49
goldgood	Yes	401.46
qcp2	Yes	383.46
thecaricature	Yes	382.34
rocbalie2	Yes	318.54

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
Time	Side	Outcome	Price	Size	Value
12:24:27	SELL	No	0.985	5	$4.98
12:23:39	BUY	No	0.9879999984	5	$5.00
08:07:25	SELL	No	0.983	30	$29.49
22:17:24	SELL	No	0.987	116	$114.67
22:17:24	SELL	No	0.987040122	125	$123.00
22:17:19	SELL	No	0.988	6	$6.01
22:17:18	SELL	No	0.9875517241	6	$6.30
22:17:18	BUY	No	0.989	353	$349.59
22:17:18	BUY	No	0.988	50	$49.40
22:17:18	BUY	No	0.9889999999	101	$99.90
22:17:18	SELL	Yes	0.0146785757	14,498	$212.81
21:08:24	SELL	Yes	0.018	40	$0.72
21:08:24	SELL	Yes	0.0161033058	5	$0.08
21:07:46	SELL	Yes	0.018	35	$0.63
21:07:46	SELL	Yes	0.017137931	290	$4.97
18:58:09	SELL	No	0.98	5	$5.26
18:58:07	SELL	No	0.98	5	$4.90
18:58:04	SELL	No	0.98	0	$0.16
18:58:03	SELL	Yes	0.013	50	$0.65
18:58:03	SELL	No	0.98	0	$0.13
18:57:52	SELL	No	0.98	7	$6.85
18:57:52	SELL	No	0.98	5	$4.90
18:57:49	SELL	No	0.98	0	$0.17
18:57:49	SELL	No	0.98	0	$0.21
18:57:48	SELL	Yes	0.01433968	250	$3.58