liftfordid
0x82c0ffd4b1ffaf45ac672b9c8aa907982b1a2892
- Realised P&L
- $-1.5k
- Volume
- $34.1k
- Markets traded
- 146
- Open portfolio
- $527.57
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-4.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded146
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration38.5% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)10.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration97.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in October? · Yes | 0.750 | 0.735 | $514.50 | −$10.50 |
| Fed rate cut by October 2026 meeting? · Yes | 0.039 | 0.004 | $7.63 | −$66.05 |
| Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? · Yes | 0.092 | 0.010 | $5.45 | −$44.50 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET · Up | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$50.00 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $83,000 on October 16? · Yes | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$50.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$258.54at 0.700Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in October?
- +$187.64at 0.237Will Hyperliquid dip to $30 in November?
- +$154.88at 0.760Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?
- +$134.75at 0.401Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in October?
- +$120.00at 0.400Will the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on October 15?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-19 01:06 | Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 October 12-18? | SELL | 0.00675755 | $1.35 |
| 10-19 01:05 | Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 October 12-18? | SELL | 0.0220166669 | $19.81 |
| 10-19 01:03 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.87 | $522.00 |
| 10-15 02:25 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 14, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET | BUY | 0.39 | $15.60 |
| 10-15 02:22 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 14, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET | BUY | 0.02 | $2.00 |
| 10-14 13:12 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in October? | SELL | 0.4846128273 | $319.24 |
| 10-14 05:14 | Game Handicap: KT (-1.5) vs BNK FEARX (+1.5) | BUY | 0.3899999999 | $200.00 |
| 10-14 03:14 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET | BUY | 0.4209083779 | $50.00 |
| 10-14 03:13 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET | BUY | 0.1447289702 | $10.00 |
| 10-14 03:12 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET | BUY | 0.6799999932 | $20.00 |
| 10-14 03:00 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET | BUY | 0.38 | $15.20 |
| 10-12 14:40 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in October? | BUY | 0.46 | $58.54 |
| 10-09 01:09 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in October? | BUY | 0.65 | $65.00 |
| 10-09 00:54 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET | BUY | 0.464435 | $46.44 |
| 10-09 00:50 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET | BUY | 0.37 | $37.00 |