cakoy
0x6447bfbf2c56165d813933574fc6b5810c023aa3
- Realised P&L
- $-1.9k
- Volume
- $43.0k
- Markets traded
- 97
- Open portfolio
- $936.77
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-4.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded97
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration30.7% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample25 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)64.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration24.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$205.20at 0.664Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
- +$120.51at 0.704Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?
- +$81.90at 0.217Will Ethereum reach $2,750 by December 31, 2026?
- +$60.86at 0.407Will Ethereum reach $2,500 by December 31, 2026?
- +$59.61at 0.577Will Ethereum reach $2,250 by December 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-01 16:04 | Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.25 | $17.32 |
| 08-31 15:47 | Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.2799999982 | $80.00 |
| 08-28 18:40 | Will Ethereum reach $2,750 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.6311148365 | $60.23 |
| 08-28 18:40 | Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.149999994 | $20.00 |
| 08-28 17:17 | Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.296460683 | $70.00 |
| 08-28 16:38 | Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.2199999952 | $35.00 |
| 08-26 15:56 | Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.09 | $6.43 |
| 08-26 15:56 | Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.26 | $34.16 |
| 08-26 15:56 | Will Ethereum reach $2,750 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.6742790979 | $66.97 |
| 08-25 16:30 | Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1970963008 | $100.00 |
| 08-24 17:33 | Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.2984652885 | $50.00 |
| 08-24 17:33 | Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.2099999957 | $30.00 |
| 08-23 05:00 | Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.2899999956 | $30.00 |
| 08-23 04:59 | Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1699999941 | $20.00 |
| 08-21 15:07 | Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1899999944 | $25.00 |