PolyBot

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Traders

cakoy

0x6447bfbf2c56165d813933574fc6b5810c023aa3

Realised P&L
$-1.9k
Volume
$43.0k
Markets traded
97
Open portfolio
$936.77

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-4.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded97
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration30.7% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample25 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)64.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration24.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.3580.125$227.89$424.87
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.3120.175$221.53$173.46
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.2900.255$175.79$24.21
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.2920.065$95.88$334.32
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.4150.065$59.32$319.70
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1820.045$50.49$154.10
Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.2420.245$33.51+$0.36
Fed rate cut by October 2026 meeting? · Yes0.1720.014$29.26$330.74
Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1320.035$26.10$73.90
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.2500.185$12.82$4.50
Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0700.059$4.18$0.82
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on April 3? · Yes0.2900.000$0.00$24.91
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on April 8? · No0.3640.000$0.00$3.43
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on April 3? · Yes0.3600.000$0.00$14.51
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $58,000 on April 6? · Yes0.2630.000$0.00$148.19

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-01 16:04Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.25$17.32
08-31 15:47Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.2799999982$80.00
08-28 18:40Will Ethereum reach $2,750 by December 31, 2026?SELL0.6311148365$60.23
08-28 18:40Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.149999994$20.00
08-28 17:17Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.296460683$70.00
08-28 16:38Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.2199999952$35.00
08-26 15:56Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026?SELL0.09$6.43
08-26 15:56Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026?SELL0.26$34.16
08-26 15:56Will Ethereum reach $2,750 by December 31, 2026?SELL0.6742790979$66.97
08-25 16:30Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.1970963008$100.00
08-24 17:33Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.2984652885$50.00
08-24 17:33Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.2099999957$30.00
08-23 05:00Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.2899999956$30.00
08-23 04:59Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.1699999941$20.00
08-21 15:07Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.1899999944$25.00