PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

Convex79

0x4d86949e352449ab09706267910a0e8b6d4e1cb2

Realised P&L
$985.18
Volume
$7.91M
Markets traded
861
Open portfolio
$625.43

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded861
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration14.5% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)48.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration49.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-30 11:24Dota 2: PuckChamp vs Zero Tenacity (BO3) - EPL Masters Group BSELL0.19$144.29
07-25 21:58La Velada del Año 6: Plex vs. FernanflooSELL0.1337460913$21.39
07-25 21:58La Velada del Año 6: Plex vs. FernanflooSELL0.15$6.54
07-08 00:57Will Este Haim attend Taylor Swift's wedding?SELL0.052$1.27
07-01 01:49Will LeBron James play for the Minnesota Timberwolves in 2026-27?SELL0.016$0.14
06-29 20:57Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?SELL0.006$0.36
06-29 20:56Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?SELL0.006$1.87
06-29 20:45Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?SELL0.006$0.15
06-29 20:43Exact Score: Côte d'Ivoire 2 - 3 Norway?SELL0.029$27.98
06-27 18:39Will Ethereum dip to $1,400 in June?SELL0.037$107.30
06-23 00:39Will Lamine Yamal be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.01$3.95
06-19 20:41Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?SELL0.011$18.50
06-18 18:49Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?SELL0.003$0.60
06-18 16:57Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?SELL0.003$5.46
06-18 14:54Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by June 30?SELL0.01$47.67