Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 3 to October 5, 2026?

Tick: 0.01
Min order: 5
Fees: 0.05 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.25 · takers only
Ends: 2026-10-05
Resolves by: https://x.com/elonmusk
Rewards: 50 min size · 5.5¢ max spread

Price history

charttable

Yes. Currently 0.61. down 0.06 over the period, from 0.67. Range 0.54 to 0.67. 45 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live

Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.62	435	435
0.63	790	1,225
0.64	1,781	3,006
0.65	2,286	5,292
0.66	2,646	7,938
0.67	721	8,659
0.68	1,334	9,993
0.69	711	10,704
0.70	1,566	12,270
0.71	1,933	14,204
0.72	1,982	16,186
0.73	60	16,246

Spread0.02Mid0.61

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.60	474	474
0.59	634	1,109
0.58	509	1,618
0.57	680	2,298
0.56	484	2,782
0.54	505	3,287
0.53	485	3,772
0.52	67	3,839
0.51	147	3,986
0.50	911	4,897
0.48	370	5,267
0.47	691	5,958

No

Live

No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.40	474	474
0.41	634	1,109
0.42	509	1,618
0.43	680	2,298
0.44	484	2,782
0.46	505	3,287
0.47	485	3,772
0.48	67	3,839
0.49	147	3,986
0.50	911	4,897
0.52	370	5,267
0.53	691	5,958

Spread0.02Mid0.39

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.38	435	435
0.37	790	1,225
0.36	1,781	3,006
0.35	2,286	5,292
0.34	2,646	7,938
0.33	721	8,659
0.32	1,334	9,993
0.31	711	10,704
0.30	1,566	12,270
0.29	1,933	14,204
0.28	1,982	16,186
0.27	60	16,246

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
Holder	Outcome	Shares
Mei-ji	Yes	3,791.38
TweetPulse.Live	Yes	2,115.81
fghsrthrhrshrsth	Yes	2,000
amy888	Yes	734.56
0xPoni-Elon	Yes	715.9
smalltimezzz	Yes	581.3
blox11	Yes	451.66
Sony237	Yes	408.51
Zenef	Yes	280.4
fishpapav	Yes	204.08
0x8e15585F7b2e22851b839B6d3ceE8CBa2d5FA0ee-1774521864337	Yes	169.58
pykue	Yes	162
ReworkedKayle	Yes	158.9
Kamenshyk22	Yes	111.96
MartinPNZ	Yes	80
0xumbra	Yes	70.65
Oscar466466	Yes	68.86
iamcj2025	Yes	51.69
youtube-trader	Yes	50
Haradwaith	Yes	50

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
Time	Side	Outcome	Price	Size	Value
11:08:20	BUY	Yes	0.6184507802	32	$20.00
10:49:17	BUY	Yes	0.6099999374	3	$1.95
10:28:33	BUY	No	0.4	125	$50.00
09:20:32	BUY	No	0.38	5	$1.92
09:18:56	SELL	Yes	0.62	50	$30.99
09:18:54	BUY	No	0.38	15	$5.70
09:18:54	BUY	No	0.3699999977	48	$17.65
09:18:54	BUY	No	0.37	5	$1.85
09:18:53	BUY	No	0.3733806667	150	$56.01
09:18:53	BUY	No	0.37	107	$39.59
09:18:53	BUY	No	0.37	40	$14.80
08:44:41	BUY	Yes	0.6478405283	46	$30.00
08:41:06	BUY	No	0.37	6	$2.22
08:40:00	BUY	Yes	0.63	20	$12.60
07:50:35	SELL	No	0.39	2	$0.64
07:50:33	BUY	Yes	0.6099998597	2	$1.00
07:50:33	BUY	Yes	0.6099998597	2	$1.00
07:49:42	BUY	No	0.4	3	$1.00
07:33:00	BUY	No	0.41	50	$20.50
07:14:44	SELL	No	0.4	2	$0.66
07:14:27	BUY	Yes	0.59999988	2	$1.00
07:12:17	SELL	No	0.4	2	$0.66
07:12:15	BUY	Yes	0.59999988	2	$1.00
07:11:57	BUY	Yes	0.6	204	$122.45
07:10:08	BUY	Yes	0.59999988	2	$1.00