blox11
0x7741dfeab2db1e1012a9b0f8af6e9db7a9af23e6
- Realised P&L
- $-4.6k
- Volume
- $202.7k
- Markets traded
- 159
- Open portfolio
- $423.13
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded159
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration16.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)54.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration80.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026? · Yes | 0.258 | 0.265 | $335.81 | +$9.00 |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026? · Yes | 0.070 | 0.017 | $80.98 | −$263.12 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$294.82at 0.404Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 27 to July 29, 2026?
- +$290.31at 0.570Argentina vs. Egypt: O/U 3.5
- +$251.93at 0.318Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?
- +$238.26at 0.539US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 27, 2026?
- +$217.69at 0.300Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-02 21:23 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026? | BUY | 0.0701117164 | $344.11 |
| 08-02 21:22 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026? | SELL | 0.2879974984 | $364.95 |
| 08-02 18:28 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026? | BUY | 0.2647620215 | $411.46 |
| 08-02 18:27 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026? | BUY | 0.2468622762 | $234.95 |
| 08-02 18:25 | Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026? | SELL | 0.31 | $138.89 |
| 08-02 18:25 | Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026? | SELL | 0.32 | $195.25 |
| 08-02 18:23 | Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026? | SELL | 0.3356648011 | $209.31 |
| 08-02 18:13 | Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026? | SELL | 0.35 | $87.55 |
| 08-02 18:08 | Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026? | SELL | 0.36 | $67.68 |
| 08-02 05:55 | Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026? | BUY | 0.2940107328 | $184.09 |
| 08-02 05:52 | Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026? | BUY | 0.28 | $104.07 |
| 08-02 05:51 | Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026? | BUY | 0.2669830524 | $290.65 |
| 08-01 00:59 | Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 30 to August 1, 2026? | SELL | 0.999 | $612.00 |
| 07-31 19:46 | Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 30 to August 1, 2026? | BUY | 0.8161672784 | $500.00 |
| 07-29 14:53 | Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 27 to July 29, 2026? | SELL | 0.999 | $494.81 |