blox11
0x7741dfeab2db1e1012a9b0f8af6e9db7a9af23e6
- Realised P&L
- $-7.4k
- Volume
- $329.9k
- Markets traded
- 222
- Open portfolio
- $275.51
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded222
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration20.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)48.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 3 to October 5, 2026? · Yes | 0.615 | 0.610 | $275.51 | −$2.42 |
| Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026? · Yes | 0.327 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$143.15 |
| Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 22 to August 24, 2026? · Yes | 0.169 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.80 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$288.84at 0.416Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 27 to July 29, 2026?
- +$284.69at 0.577Argentina vs. Egypt: O/U 3.5
- +$263.71at 0.298Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 1 to September 8, 2026?
- +$240.12at 0.329Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?
- +$238.26at 0.539US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 27, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-02 05:17 | Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 3 to October 5, 2026? | BUY | 0.6153504977 | $277.93 |
| 10-02 00:40 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026? | SELL | 0.7975098045 | $286.73 |
| 10-01 23:20 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026? | BUY | 0.7864579353 | $282.76 |
| 10-01 20:08 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026? | SELL | 0.999 | $285.42 |
| 10-01 19:32 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026? | BUY | 0.959 | $274.00 |
| 10-01 19:19 | Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 1 to October 3, 2026? | SELL | 0.4854088972 | $281.41 |
| 10-01 17:40 | Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 1 to October 3, 2026? | BUY | 0.6350346033 | $368.15 |
| 10-01 14:58 | Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026? | SELL | 0.87 | $377.95 |
| 10-01 02:18 | Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026? | BUY | 0.83 | $360.58 |
| 10-01 01:47 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026? | SELL | 0.4754221041 | $371.97 |
| 09-30 20:27 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026? | BUY | 0.4980758976 | $389.69 |
| 09-30 01:17 | Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026? | SELL | 0.6975890547 | $407.13 |
| 09-29 20:53 | Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026? | BUY | 0.8853489707 | $516.72 |
| 09-29 20:23 | Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from September 28 to September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.1287377049 | $5.34 |
| 09-29 20:23 | Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from September 28 to September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.1322594037 | $59.70 |